South Florida at Michigan State - 2013 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at Michigan State SpartansMichigan State logo
Saturday, September 7th 2013 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan State -17.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan State 21 - South Florida: 6

 
Bulls (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 29 (14 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: USF: 13 - MSU: 29 (42)
MSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
USF Travel: 1025 miles
Spartans (13 - 1) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 13 (29 - 10 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Florida vs McNeese-20.5
Sat 9/7 South Florida at Michigan State+17.5
Sat 9/14 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 South Florida vs Miami+18.5
Sat 10/5 South Florida vs Cincinnati+13.5
Sat 10/12 South Florida at UConn+6.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 South Florida vs Louisville+21.0
Thu 10/31 South Florida at Houston+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 South Florida vs Memphis+2.5
Sat 11/23 South Florida vs SMU+5.5
Fri 11/29 South Florida at UCF+26.0
Sat 12/7 South Florida at Rutgers+7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Michigan State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Michigan State vs Western Michigan-24.0
Sat 9/7 Michigan State vs South Florida-17.5
Sat 9/14 Michigan State vs Youngstown State-27.0
Sat 9/21 Michigan State at Notre Dame+6.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Michigan State at Iowa+2.0
Sat 10/12 Michigan State vs Indiana-7.5
Sat 10/19 Michigan State vs Purdue-21.0
Sat 10/26 Michigan State at Illinois-13.0
Sat 11/2 Michigan State vs Michigan-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Michigan State at Nebraska-3.5
Sat 11/23 Michigan State at Northwestern-7.0
Sat 11/30 Michigan State vs Minnesota-14.0
Sat 12/7 Michigan State vs Ohio State+6.5
Wed 1/1 Michigan State vs Stanford+6.541.0W 24 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF-32%13.827%2.438933%167-0.71.0544%28.641%44%-0.1671.82.32.1
MSU.0541%29.442%2.8917438%212-0.15-.0531%13.227%33%-0.2450.41.12
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)45% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)39% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1213.813.632.1%-0.712.31325689167348%48%27%33%3%-
MSU Defense1413.210.431.2%-0.242 - - - - - 47%52%27%33%2%-.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1228.62443.8%-0.162.1 - - - - - 52%46%41%44%3%.05
MSU Offense1429.428.741.3%-0.151.1213861742124.353%45%42%38%2%.05

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1228:2912.828%31%8.571.82.32.100227.3
Michigan State1434:4820.944%64%5.450.41.1200232.8
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1248%27%29.988.734-.12.4361%0%0.87
MSU Defense1447%27% - - - - -.142.1449%0%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1252%41% - - - - -.092.4858%0%0.73
MSU Offense1453%42%40.6173.84.323-.032.8972%0%0.67

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1248%33%13.829.8166.85.612.1716.091.341%28%.153%1.4
MSU Defense1452%33% - - - - - - 17.041.338%27%.212%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1246%44% - - - - - - 11.211.131%33%.23%1.4
MSU Offense1445%38%17.730.7211.76.912237.141.331%35%.292%1.6

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2013 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Michigan State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Michigan State:




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2013 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 13.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 13.6
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

South Florida's 2013 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan State 29
South Florida 13

Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan State 29
South Florida 14

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Michigan State 28
South Florida 13

Total Points: 41
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 13.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.4

Michigan State's 2013 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201309/07Michigan State21South Florida6Michigan State -17.5South Florida0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State100 Overs
South Florida010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) USF at (#) MSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCatMSU OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSU OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 75° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Michigan State -17.5 (0)
Michigan State won vs South Florida this year (21-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD