Boise State at Nevada - 2012 Matchup Preview
Boise State logo Boise State Broncos at Nevada Wolf PackNevada logo
Saturday, December 1st 2012 (3:30 PM EST)
Boise State 27 - Nevada: 21  (Mountain West)

 
Broncos (11 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 16 (34 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 23.1 MPH
BSU coming off BYE
NEV coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BSU: 38 - NEV: 26 (64)
BSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BSU Travel: 337 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wolf Pack (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 34 (34 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boise State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Boise State at Michigan State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Boise State vs Miami (OH)-23.5
Thu 9/20 Boise State vs BYU-23.5
Sat 9/29 Boise State at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 10/6 Boise State at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 10/13 Boise State vs Fresno State-23.5
Sat 10/20 Boise State vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 10/27 Boise State at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 11/3 Boise State vs San Diego State-23.5
Sat 11/10 Boise State at Hawai'i+2.5
Sat 11/17 Boise State vs Colorado State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/1 Boise State at Nevada+2.5
Sat 12/22 Boise State vs Washington-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Nevada's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Nevada at California+2.5
Sat 9/8 Nevada vs South Florida-23.5
Sat 9/15 Nevada vs Northwestern State-23.5
Sat 9/22 Nevada at Hawai'i+2.5
Sat 9/29 Nevada at Texas State+2.5
Sat 10/6 Nevada vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 10/13 Nevada at UNLV+2.5
Sat 10/20 Nevada vs San Diego State-23.5
Fri 10/26 Nevada at Air Force+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 Nevada vs Fresno State-23.5
Sat 11/17 Nevada at New Mexico+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/1 Nevada vs Boise State-23.5
Sat 12/15 Nevada vs Arizona+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU.0844%30.239%2.7516846%223-0.08.0339%15.838%39%-0.341.21.22.8
NEV.1549%37.848%3.2827150%244-0.27.1144%33.846%39%-0.0862.61.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU#3 (.36)48% (12)49% (17)3.22 (39)23448% (12)2044.83 (4)#59 (.16)38% (27)39% (33)37% (29)3.33 (24)39.80.61.1
NEV#55 (.21)45% (46)47% (33)3.06 (59)16442% (65)2133.88 (73)#110 (.24)46% (117)49% (121)43% (92)4.33 (114)73.11.21



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1330.234.343.5%-0.081.2213911682234.650%48%39%46%2%.08
NEV Defense1333.835.343.8%-0.081.4 - - - - - 54%45%46%39%2%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense1315.818.239.1%-0.32.8 - - - - - 52%47%38%39%2%.03
NEV Offense1337.834.349%-0.271.7295152712445.260%39%48%50%2%.15

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State1331:0521.144%45%4.541.21.22.800234
Nevada1330:232953%64%6.562.61.71.400129.8
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1350%39%36.8168.24.625-.012.7561%0%0.83
NEV Defense1354%46% - - - - .123.3783%0%0.81
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense1352%38% - - - - -.022.8362%0%0.74
NEV Offense1360%48%51.82715.241.083.2875%0%0.7

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1348%46%20.230.3223.27.411207.21.230%36%.272%1.6
NEV Defense1345%39% - - - - - - 6.11.331%38%.322%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense1347%39% - - - - - - 18.081.131%31%.242%1.7
NEV Offense1339%50%20.831.2243.87.811.72410.281.227%43%.382%1.4

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State:    Nevada: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State:    Nevada:




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2012 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 15.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.2

Boise State's 2012 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 38
Nevada 26

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Boise State 43
Nevada 25

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Boise State 33
Nevada 27

Total Points: 60
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 37.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.3

Nevada's 2012 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/24Nevada3Boise State24Boise State -20.5Boise State51.5Under
202411/09Boise State28Nevada21Boise State -23.5Nevada60.5Under
202211/12Nevada3Boise State41Boise State -21Boise State47.0Under
202110/02Boise State31Nevada41Boise State -3.5Nevada59.0Over
201810/13Nevada27Boise State31Boise State -15Nevada59.5Under
201711/04Boise State41Nevada14Boise State -20.5Boise State63.0Under
201410/04Nevada46Boise State51Boise State -1.5Boise State0
201310/19Boise State34Nevada17Boise State -21.5Nevada0
201212/01Nevada21Boise State27
201110/01Boise State30Nevada10
201011/26Nevada34Boise State31
200911/27Boise State44Nevada33
200811/22Nevada34Boise State41
200710/14Boise State69Nevada67
200611/25Nevada7Boise State38
200510/29Boise State49Nevada14
200411/27Nevada21Boise State58
200311/29Boise State56Nevada3
200110/27Boise State49Nevada7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada241 Overs
Boise State1745 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 92 - 61 - 31 - 3
Road Teams9 - 106 - 23 - 13 - 1

(#) BSU at (#) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBSUNEV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCat
BSU OffNEV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCatNEV OffBSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCatNEV OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 54° - Wind: 23 mph
Rematch from Week 14
()
Boise State won at Nevada this year (27-21)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Nevada last year (28-21)
Boise State beat Nevada in 2022 (41-3)

  
BSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD