
Arkansas State Red Wolves at North Texas Mean Green 
Saturday, November 3rd 2012 (5:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State 37 - North Texas: 19 (Sun Belt)
Red Wolves (10 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ARST: 24 - UNT: 35 (59)
ARST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 412 miles
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ARST: 24 - UNT: 35 (59)
ARST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 412 miles
Mean Green (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
| Arkansas State's 2012 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/1 | Arkansas State at Oregon | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/8 | Arkansas State vs Memphis | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/15 | Arkansas State at Nebraska | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/22 | Arkansas State vs Alcorn State | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/29 | Arkansas State vs Western Kentucky | -23.5 | |||||
| Thu 10/4 | Arkansas State at Florida International | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/13 | Arkansas State vs South Alabama | -23.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/23 | Arkansas State at Louisiana | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/3 | Arkansas State at North Texas | +2.5 | |||||
| Thu 11/8 | Arkansas State vs UL Monroe | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/17 | Arkansas State at Troy | +2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 12/1 | Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee | -23.5 | |||||
| Sun 1/6 | Arkansas State vs Kent State | -23.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| North Texas's 2012 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/1 | North Texas at LSU | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/8 | North Texas vs Texas Southern | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/15 | North Texas at Kansas State | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/22 | North Texas vs Troy | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/29 | North Texas at Florida Atlantic | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/6 | North Texas at Houston | +2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/16 | North Texas vs Louisiana | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/27 | North Texas at Middle Tennessee | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/3 | North Texas vs Arkansas State | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/10 | North Texas vs South Alabama | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/17 | North Texas at UL Monroe | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/24 | North Texas at Western Kentucky | +2.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2011)
Overall Stats 2011
Additional Stats 2011
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | .08 | 44% | 25.2 | 40% | 3.05 | 144 | 45% | 280 | -0.27 | -.05 | 35% | 27.4 | 37% | 33% | 0 | 54.3 | 2 | 1.9 |
| UNT | -.05 | 37% | 45.1 | 35% | 2.36 | 152 | 37% | 198 | -0.44 | .09 | 41% | 26.5 | 44% | 38% | -0.17 | 41.4 | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| UNT | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2011
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 25.2 | 21 | 43.9% | -0.27 | 2 | 21 | 410 | 144 | 280 | 3.9 | 44% | 53% | 40% | 45% | 2% | .08 |
| UNT Defense | 12 | 26.5 | 22 | 41.5% | -0.17 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 45% | 53% | 44% | 38% | 1% | .09 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 27.4 | 21.8 | 35.3% | 0 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 54% | 37% | 33% | 2% | -.05 |
| UNT Offense | 12 | 45.1 | 45.7 | 36.7% | -0.44 | 1.4 | 18 | 342 | 152 | 198 | 3.8 | 54% | 44% | 35% | 37% | 2% | -.05 |
Additional Stats 2011
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 13 | 18:02 | 21.3 | 42% | 62% | 6.4 | 54.3 | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33.8 |
| North Texas | 12 | 19:40 | 17.8 | 38% | 42% | 5 | 41.4 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32.5 |
Run Game Stats (2012)
Pass Game Stats (2012)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 44% | 40% | 36.5 | 144 | 3.9 | 24 | .02 | 3.05 | 65% | 0% | 0.74 |
| UNT Defense | 12 | 45% | 44% | - | - | - | - | .09 | 3.03 | 67% | 0% | 0.81 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 44% | 37% | - | - | - | - | -.1 | 2.25 | 62% | 0% | 0.8 |
| UNT Offense | 12 | 54% | 35% | 40 | 152.4 | 3.8 | 19 | -.18 | 2.36 | 49% | 0% | 0.65 |
Pass Game Stats (2012)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 53% | 45% | 23.2 | 35.6 | 279.5 | 7.9 | 12.1 | 18 | 15 | .15 | 1 | 32% | 35% | .21 | 2% | 1.2 |
| UNT Defense | 12 | 53% | 38% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 | .1 | 1.2 | 34% | 34% | .19 | 1% | 1.4 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 54% | 33% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 | -.01 | 1.2 | 36% | 27% | .18 | 2% | 1.6 |
| UNT Offense | 12 | 44% | 37% | 16.6 | 28.9 | 198.4 | 6.9 | 12 | 14 | 9 | .09 | 1.3 | 33% | 26% | .06 | 2% | 1.6 |
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: North Texas: 2.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: North Texas:
Arkansas State: North Texas: 2.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: North Texas:
North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2012 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
North Texas's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2012 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8
Arkansas State's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8
Arkansas State's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 35
Arkansas State 24
Projected Total Points: 59
North Texas 35
Arkansas State 24
Projected Total Points: 59
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22
North Texas's 2012 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22
North Texas's 2012 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 11/03 | North Texas | 19 | Arkansas State | 37 | ||||
| 2011 | 10/29 | Arkansas State | 37 | North Texas | 14 | ||||
| 2010 | 10/09 | North Texas | 19 | Arkansas State | 24 | ||||
| 2009 | 11/28 | Arkansas State | 30 | North Texas | 26 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/29 | North Texas | 28 | Arkansas State | 33 | ||||
| 2007 | 11/15 | Arkansas State | 31 | North Texas | 27 | ||||
| 2006 | 10/21 | Arkansas State | 29 | North Texas | 10 | ||||
| 2005 | 11/26 | North Texas | 24 | Arkansas State | 31 | ||||
| 2004 | 11/18 | Arkansas State | 7 | North Texas | 31 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/15 | North Texas | 58 | Arkansas State | 14 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/19 | Arkansas State | 10 | North Texas | 13 | ||||
| 2001 | 10/20 | North Texas | 45 | Arkansas State | 0 | ||||
| 2000 | 11/10 | Arkansas State | 53 | North Texas | 28 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | 4 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Arkansas State | 9 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 6 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 6 - 7 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ARST | UNT |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Perf GradeGrade | NR | NR |
| OffenseOff | NR | NR |
| DefenseDef | NR | NR |
| Spec TeamsST | NR | NR |
| TalentTal | NR | NR |
| Blue ChipsBC% | NR | NR |
| ARST Off | UNT Def | |
|---|---|---|
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| ARST Off | UNT Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| ARST Off | UNT Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
| CategoryCat | UNT Off | ARST Def |
|---|---|---|
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| UNT Off | ARST Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| CategoryCat | UNT Off | ARST Def |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5
UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
()
Arkansas State won at North Texas this year (37-19)
No Matchups Past 4 Years
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|