Arkansas State at Troy - 2012 Matchup Preview
Arkansas State logo   Arkansas State Red Wolves at Troy Trojans  Troy logo
Saturday, November 17th 2012 (3:30 PM EST)
Arkansas State 41 - Troy: 34  (Sun Belt)

 
Red Wolves (10 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TROY 2nd straight Home Game
TROY is playing their 6th straight game
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ARST: 23 - TROY: 25 (48)
ARST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 389 miles
Trojans (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Arkansas State at Oregon+2.5
Sat 9/8 Arkansas State vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 9/15 Arkansas State at Nebraska+2.5
Sat 9/22 Arkansas State vs Alcorn State-23.5
Sat 9/29 Arkansas State vs Western Kentucky-23.5
Thu 10/4 Arkansas State at Florida International+2.5
Sat 10/13 Arkansas State vs South Alabama-23.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/23 Arkansas State at Louisiana+2.5
Sat 11/3 Arkansas State at North Texas+2.5
Thu 11/8 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-23.5
Sat 11/17 Arkansas State at Troy+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/1 Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sun 1/6 Arkansas State vs Kent State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Troy's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Troy at UAB+2.5
Sat 9/8 Troy vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 9/15 Troy vs Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 9/22 Troy at North Texas+2.5
Sat 9/29 Troy at South Alabama+2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/11 Troy vs Western Kentucky-23.5
Sat 10/20 Troy vs Florida International-23.5
Sat 10/27 Troy at Florida Atlantic+2.5
Sat 11/3 Troy at Tennessee+2.5
Sat 11/10 Troy vs Navy-23.5
Sat 11/17 Troy vs Arkansas State-23.5
Sat 11/24 Troy at Middle Tennessee+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.0844%25.240%3.0514445%280-0.27-.0535%27.437%33%054.321.9
TROY.0239%23.539%2.868438%280-0.11.0942%23.940%42%-0.3150.32.31.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1325.22143.9%-0.272214101442803.944%53%40%45%2%.08
TROY Defense1223.922.841.9%-0.311.5 - - - - - 55%43%40%42%1%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1327.421.835.3%01.9 - - - - - 44%54%37%33%2%-.05
TROY Offense1223.525.338.5%-0.112.318349842803.234%65%39%38%2%.02

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1318:0221.342%62%6.454.321.900233.8
Troy1215:1417.838%37%6.450.32.31.500131
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1344%40%36.51443.924.023.0565%0%0.74
TROY Defense1255%40% - - - - .013.0359%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1344%37% - - - - -.12.2562%0%0.8
TROY Offense1234%39%25.983.53.212-.062.8666%0%0.64

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1353%45%23.235.6279.57.912.11815.15132%35%.212%1.2
TROY Defense1243%42% - - - - - - 7.211.229%31%.241%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1354%33% - - - - - - 17-.011.236%27%.182%1.6
TROY Offense1265%38%2539.9279.5711.21913.081.233%29%.172%1.7

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Troy: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Troy:




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2012 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 25
Arkansas State 23

Projected Total Points: 48
Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2012 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Troy10Arkansas State23Troy -7.5Arkansas State52.5Under
202410/26Arkansas State34Troy31Arkansas State -8.5Troy50.0Over
202310/07Troy37Arkansas State3Troy -15.5Troy52.0Under
202211/26Arkansas State19Troy48Troy -13.5Troy43.5Over
202010/31Arkansas State10Troy38Arkansas State -3.5Troy0
201909/28Troy43Arkansas State50Troy -7Arkansas State59.5Over
201712/02Arkansas State25Troy32Arkansas State -1Troy60.0Under
201611/17Troy3Arkansas State35Troy -8.5Arkansas State53.5Under
201309/12Arkansas State41Troy34Arkansas State -10Troy0
201211/17Troy34Arkansas State41
201112/03Arkansas State45Troy14
201009/25Troy35Arkansas State28
200909/26Arkansas State27Troy30
200812/06Troy35Arkansas State9
200710/27Arkansas State0Troy27
200611/18Troy26Arkansas State33
200511/12Arkansas State9Troy3
200410/16Arkansas State13Troy9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy863 Overs
Arkansas State1034 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 101 - 81 - 70 - 1
Road Teams10 - 88 - 11 - 07 - 1

(#) ARST at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTTROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
()
Arkansas State won at Troy this year (41-34)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Troy last year (23-10)
Arkansas State beat Troy in 2024 (34-31)
Troy beat Arkansas State in 2023 (37-3)

  
ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD