
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Saturday, September 29th 2012 (7:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky 26 - Arkansas State: 13 (Sun Belt)
Hilltoppers (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 26 (22 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 26 (22 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST 2nd straight Home Game
ARST is playing their 5th straight game
WKU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: WKU: 21 - ARST: 32 (53)
WKU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 247 miles
ARST is playing their 5th straight game
WKU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: WKU: 21 - ARST: 32 (53)
WKU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 247 miles
Red Wolves (10 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (38 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (38 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
| Western Kentucky's 2012 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/1 | Western Kentucky vs Austin Peay | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/8 | Western Kentucky at Alabama | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/15 | Western Kentucky at Kentucky | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/22 | Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/29 | Western Kentucky at Arkansas State | +2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/11 | Western Kentucky at Troy | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/20 | Western Kentucky vs UL Monroe | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/27 | Western Kentucky at Florida International | +2.5 | |||||
| Thu 11/1 | Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/10 | Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/17 | Western Kentucky at Louisiana | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/24 | Western Kentucky vs North Texas | -23.5 | |||||
| Wed 12/26 | Western Kentucky vs Central Michigan | +2.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Arkansas State's 2012 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/1 | Arkansas State at Oregon | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/8 | Arkansas State vs Memphis | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/15 | Arkansas State at Nebraska | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/22 | Arkansas State vs Alcorn State | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/29 | Arkansas State vs Western Kentucky | -23.5 | |||||
| Thu 10/4 | Arkansas State at Florida International | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/13 | Arkansas State vs South Alabama | -23.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/23 | Arkansas State at Louisiana | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/3 | Arkansas State at North Texas | +2.5 | |||||
| Thu 11/8 | Arkansas State vs UL Monroe | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/17 | Arkansas State at Troy | +2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 12/1 | Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee | -23.5 | |||||
| Sun 1/6 | Arkansas State vs Kent State | -23.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2012)
Overall Stats 2012
Additional Stats 2012
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | .11 | 42% | 28.2 | 41% | 3.09 | 178 | 42% | 205 | -0.16 | .03 | 39% | 25.5 | 39% | 38% | -0.09 | 58.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| ARST | .13 | 47% | 34.9 | 46% | 3.02 | 206 | 45% | 260 | -0.15 | .06 | 42% | 24.5 | 39% | 43% | -0.09 | 43.8 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | #66 (.19) | 42% (83) | 38% (117) | 2.78 (108) | 110 | 45% (33) | 265 | 3.83 (78) | #95 (.21) | 45% (102) | 48% (113) | 40% (60) | 3.66 (54) | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | ||
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2012
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 13 | 28.2 | 21.7 | 42.4% | -0.16 | 1.8 | 20 | 383 | 178 | 205 | 4.6 | 56% | 43% | 41% | 42% | 2% | .11 |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 17.7 | 42.1% | -0.09 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 48% | 39% | 43% | 1% | .06 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 13 | 25.5 | 23.7 | 39.5% | -0.09 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 50% | 39% | 38% | 3% | .03 |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 34.9 | 38 | 46.6% | -0.15 | 1.1 | 25 | 467 | 206 | 260 | 5 | 51% | 47% | 46% | 45% | 1% | .13 |
Additional Stats 2012
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | 13 | 32:21 | 20.3 | 48% | 39% | 6.2 | 58.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32.3 |
| Arkansas State | 13 | 31:32 | 24.5 | 47% | 50% | 4.8 | 43.8 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27.3 |
Run Game Stats (2012)
Pass Game Stats (2012)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 13 | 56% | 41% | 38.9 | 178.3 | 4.6 | 21 | .06 | 3.09 | 74% | 0% | 0.84 |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 50% | 39% | - | - | - | - | 2.68 | 58% | 0% | 0.86 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 13 | 48% | 39% | - | - | - | - | -.06 | 2.45 | 57% | 0% | 0.75 |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 51% | 46% | 41.5 | 206.2 | 5 | 31 | .08 | 3.02 | 82% | 0% | 0.72 |
Pass Game Stats (2012)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 13 | 43% | 42% | 16.4 | 25.8 | 205.2 | 8 | 12.5 | 24 | 12 | .21 | 1.3 | 33% | 35% | .3 | 2% | 1.5 |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 48% | 43% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 | .14 | 1.1 | 32% | 35% | .25 | 1% | 1.5 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 13 | 50% | 38% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 | .12 | 1.2 | 33% | 30% | .2 | 3% | 1.5 |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 47% | 45% | 21.5 | 31.7 | 260.5 | 8.2 | 12.1 | 25 | 5 | .21 | 1.1 | 29% | 31% | .15 | 1% | 1.3 |
Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2012 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2012 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482
Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: Arkansas State: 2.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: Arkansas State:
Western Kentucky: Arkansas State: 2.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: Arkansas State:
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7
Western Kentucky's 2012 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7
Western Kentucky's 2012 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 32
Western Kentucky 21
Total Points: 53
Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas State 34
Western Kentucky 19
Total Points: 52
Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State 30
Western Kentucky 23
Total Points: 53
Arkansas State 32
Western Kentucky 21
Total Points: 53
Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas State 34
Western Kentucky 19
Total Points: 52
Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State 30
Western Kentucky 23
Total Points: 53
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7
Arkansas State's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7
Arkansas State's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 11/30 | Western Kentucky | 34 | Arkansas State | 31 | Western Kentucky -4 | Arkansas State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/29 | Arkansas State | 13 | Western Kentucky | 26 | ||||
| 2011 | 10/01 | Western Kentucky | 22 | Arkansas State | 26 | ||||
| 2010 | 11/13 | Arkansas State | 35 | Western Kentucky | 36 | ||||
| 2009 | 12/03 | Western Kentucky | 20 | Arkansas State | 24 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 2 | 1 | 0 Overs |
| Western Kentucky | 3 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 4 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | WKU | ARST |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Perf GradeGrade | NR | NR |
| OffenseOff | NR | NR |
| DefenseDef | NR | NR |
| Spec TeamsST | NR | NR |
| TalentTal | NR | NR |
| Blue ChipsBC% | NR | NR |
| WKU Off | ARST Def | |
|---|---|---|
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| WKU Off | ARST Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| WKU Off | ARST Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
| CategoryCat | ARST Off | WKU Def |
|---|---|---|
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| ARST Off | WKU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| CategoryCat | ARST Off | WKU Def |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5
WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5
WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 6 mph
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 6 mph
()
Western Kentucky won at Arkansas State this year (26-13)
No Matchups Past 4 Years
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|