Troy at North Texas - 2012 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, September 22nd 2012 (7:00 PM EDT)
Troy 14 - North Texas: 7  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 31 (30 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 95° (19% Hum)
UNT is playing their 4th straight game
TROY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TROY: 24 - UNT: 31 (55)
TROY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TROY Travel: 660 miles
Mean Green (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (23 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Troy at UAB+2.5
Sat 9/8 Troy vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 9/15 Troy vs Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 9/22 Troy at North Texas+2.5
Sat 9/29 Troy at South Alabama+2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/11 Troy vs Western Kentucky-23.5
Sat 10/20 Troy vs Florida International-23.5
Sat 10/27 Troy at Florida Atlantic+2.5
Sat 11/3 Troy at Tennessee+2.5
Sat 11/10 Troy vs Navy-23.5
Sat 11/17 Troy vs Arkansas State-23.5
Sat 11/24 Troy at Middle Tennessee+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
North Texas's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 North Texas at LSU+2.5
Sat 9/8 North Texas vs Texas Southern-23.5
Sat 9/15 North Texas at Kansas State+2.5
Sat 9/22 North Texas vs Troy-23.5
Sat 9/29 North Texas at Florida Atlantic+2.5
Sat 10/6 North Texas at Houston+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/16 North Texas vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 10/27 North Texas at Middle Tennessee+2.5
Sat 11/3 North Texas vs Arkansas State-23.5
Sat 11/10 North Texas vs South Alabama-23.5
Sat 11/17 North Texas at UL Monroe+2.5
Sat 11/24 North Texas at Western Kentucky+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1145%30.644%2.9316745%332-0.08.0940%30.540%37%-0.1767.62.31.7
UNT-.0438%20.935%2.3517339%219-0.1.0843%27.846%39%0.0943.31.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1230.63045.4%-0.082.3264991673324.445%54%44%45%2%.11
UNT Defense1227.81943.3%0.091.6 - - - - - 45%53%46%39%3%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1230.526.540.1%-0.171.7 - - - - - 54%44%40%37%2%.09
UNT Offense1220.922.837.5%-0.11.5203921732194.455%44%35%39%2%-.04

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1230:3125.749%43%7.767.62.31.700128.3
North Texas1232:522033%50%4.343.31.51.600029.5
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1245%44%38.1167.34.422.042.9356%0%0.77
UNT Defense1245%46% - - - - .072.8868%0%0.79
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1254%40% - - - - .032.8469%0%0.81
UNT Offense1255%35%39.8173.14.417-.152.3564%0%0.67

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1254%45%28.142.4331.57.811.82212.191.228%39%.392%1.6
UNT Defense1253%39% - - - - - - 11.11.130%30%.133%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1244%37% - - - - - - 6.191.533%30%.142%1.4
UNT Offense1244%39%17.831.3219.1712.31414.111.334%29%.062%1.3

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2012 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    North Texas: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy:    North Texas:




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2012 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Troy Scoring
Offense: 30.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Troy's 2012 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 31
Troy 24

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
North Texas 38
Troy 20

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Troy 27
North Texas 25

Total Points: 52
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.8
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

North Texas's 2012 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201712/16North Texas30Troy50Troy -5.5Troy61.5Over
201209/22North Texas7Troy14
201111/12Troy33North Texas38
201011/06North Texas35Troy41
200910/24Troy50North Texas26
200810/25North Texas17Troy45
200710/20Troy45North Texas7
200610/28Troy14North Texas6
200510/04North Texas10Troy13
200310/30North Texas21Troy0
200112/01Troy18North Texas16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas201 Overs
Troy910 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 60 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams6 - 51 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#) TROY at (#) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Texas on Offense
CategoryCatUNT OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatUNT OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 95° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 4
()
Troy won at North Texas this year (14-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TROY's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNT's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD