Bowling Green at Massachusetts - 2012 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Saturday, October 20th 2012 (12:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green 24 - Massachusetts: 0  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 17 (17 - 19 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UMASS coming off BYE
BGSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BGSU: 30 - UMASS: 20 (50)
BGSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 639 miles
Minutemen (1 - 11) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 40 (16 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Bowling Green at Florida+2.5
Sat 9/8 Bowling Green vs Idaho-23.5
Sat 9/15 Bowling Green at Toledo+2.5
Sat 9/22 Bowling Green at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/29 Bowling Green vs Rhode Island-23.5
Sat 10/6 Bowling Green at Akron+2.5
Sat 10/13 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)-23.5
Sat 10/20 Bowling Green at Massachusetts+2.5
Sat 10/27 Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/7 Bowling Green at Ohio+2.5
Sat 11/17 Bowling Green vs Kent State-23.5
Fri 11/23 Bowling Green vs Buffalo-23.5
Thu 12/27 Bowling Green vs San José State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Massachusetts at UConn+2.5
Sat 9/8 Massachusetts vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 9/15 Massachusetts at Michigan+2.5
Sat 9/22 Massachusetts at Miami (OH)+2.5
Sat 9/29 Massachusetts vs Ohio-23.5
Sat 10/6 Massachusetts at Western Michigan+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green-23.5
Sat 10/27 Massachusetts at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 11/3 Massachusetts at Northern Illinois+2.5
Sat 11/10 Massachusetts at Akron+2.5
Sat 11/17 Massachusetts vs Buffalo-23.5
Fri 11/23 Massachusetts vs Central Michigan-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU-.0140%22.942%2.8215336%212-0.17-.0335%16.833%34%-0.1159.61.41.7
UMASS-.0834%12.735%2.349231%187-0.53.1548%40.245%52%-0.1955.52.31.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1322.917.239.7%-0.171.4193651532124.447%52%42%36%2%-.01
UMASS Defense1240.235.448.4%-0.191.6 - - - - - 55%44%45%52%2%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1316.819.234.7%-0.111.7 - - - - - 44%54%33%34%3%-.03
UMASS Offense1212.71633.6%-0.532.317278921872.742%57%35%31%4%-.08

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1332:461937%35%7.159.61.41.700331.8
Massachusetts1229:2117.236%44%6.855.52.31.600127.4
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1347%42%34.8153.24.419-.062.8268%0%0.68
UMASS Defense1255%45% - - - - .043.4771%0%0.7
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1344%33% - - - - -.082.4650%0%0.87
UMASS Offense1242%35%34.291.62.78-.122.3454%0%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1352%36%18.434212.16.211.51613.051.236%27%.092%1.5
UMASS Defense1244%52% - - - - - - 13.291.228%38%.272%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1354%34% - - - - - - 10.031.237%27%.143%1.5
UMASS Offense1257%31%19.837186.75.19.5919-.051.242%27%.174%1.4

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2012 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Massachusetts: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Massachusetts:




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Massachusetts's 2012 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 22.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.2
Defense: 16.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.2

Bowling Green's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 30
Massachusetts 20

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Bowling Green 30
Massachusetts 23

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Bowling Green 29
Massachusetts 16

Total Points: 45
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 40.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.4

Massachusetts's 2012 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/25Massachusetts14Bowling Green45Bowling Green -14Bowling Green44.5Over
201510/10Bowling Green62Massachusetts38Bowling Green -13.5Bowling Green78.5Over
201409/27Massachusetts42Bowling Green47Bowling Green -12Massachusetts0
201310/05Bowling Green28Massachusetts7Bowling Green -23Massachusetts0
201210/20Massachusetts0Bowling Green24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts022 Overs
Bowling Green520 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 32 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams3 - 22 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#) BGSU at (#) UMASS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUUMASS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffUMASS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCatUMASS OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCatUMASS OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gillette Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 8
()
Bowling Green won at Massachusetts this year (24-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BGSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BGSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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UMASS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UMASS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD