UCF at Southern Miss - 2011 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss logo
Saturday, November 12th 2011 (8:00 PM EST)
Southern Miss 30 - UCF: 29  (Conference USA)

 
Knights (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 18 (21 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM is playing their 4th straight game
UCF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 19 - USM: 30 (49)
UCF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 522 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Eagles (12 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (37 - 14 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UCF vs Charleston Southern-23.5
Sat 9/10 UCF vs Boston College-23.5
Sat 9/17 UCF at Florida International+2.5
Fri 9/23 UCF at BYU+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 UCF vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 10/15 UCF at SMU+2.5
Thu 10/20 UCF at UAB+2.5
Sat 10/29 UCF vs Memphis-23.5
Thu 11/3 UCF vs Tulsa-23.5
Sat 11/12 UCF at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 11/19 UCF at East Carolina+2.5
Fri 11/25 UCF vs UTEP-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech-23.5
Sat 9/10 Southern Miss at Marshall+2.5
Sat 9/17 Southern Miss vs SE Louisiana-23.5
Sat 9/24 Southern Miss at Virginia+2.5
Sat 10/1 Southern Miss vs Rice-23.5
Sat 10/8 Southern Miss at Navy+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Southern Miss vs SMU-23.5
Sat 10/29 Southern Miss at UTEP+2.5
Sat 11/5 Southern Miss at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/12 Southern Miss vs UCF-23.5
Thu 11/17 Southern Miss at UAB+2.5
Sat 11/26 Southern Miss vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 12/3 Southern Miss at Houston+2.5
Sat 12/24 Southern Miss vs Nevada-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.1145%27.143%2.9716946%251-0.0838%18.336%36%-0.2248.91.51.2
USM.1143%36.944%3.220540%265-0.19-.0239%20.837%38%-0.7462.82.31.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1227.121.345.3%-0.081.5214071692514.452%46%43%46%3%.11
USM Defense1420.814.338.7%-0.741.9 - - - - - 46%53%37%38%3%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1218.328.837.7%-0.221.2 - - - - - 43%54%36%36%2%
USM Offense1436.936.743.3%-0.192.3234612052655.249%49%44%40%2%.11

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1221:072144%48%5.748.91.51.200233.5
Southern Miss1417:5523.442%61%7.762.82.31.9001232.9
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1252%43%38.8168.84.427.012.9757%0%0.72
USM Defense1446%37% - - - - -.112.4555%0%0.69
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1243%36% - - - - -.042.6870%0%0.76
USM Offense1449%44%39.5205.15.217.073.279%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1246%46%19.628.8250.88.712.8118.251.229%35%.273%1.4
USM Defense1453%38% - - - - - - 19.061.135%32%.213%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1254%36% - - - - - - 9.051.237%26%.142%1.6
USM Offense1449%40%20.934.9265.47.612.73212.161.336%38%.342%1.6

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2011 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Southern Miss: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Southern Miss:




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2011 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 18.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

UCF's 2011 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 30
UCF 19

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 31
UCF 17

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Southern Miss 30
UCF 21

Total Points: 51
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Southern Miss's 2011 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201210/13UCF38Southern Miss31
201111/12Southern Miss30UCF29
201011/13UCF21Southern Miss31
200909/12Southern Miss26UCF19
200811/08UCF6Southern Miss17
200710/28Southern Miss17UCF34
200609/26UCF14Southern Miss19
200510/15Southern Miss52UCF31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss600 Overs
UCF200 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) UCF at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 61°
Rematch from Week 11
()
Southern Miss won vs UCF this year (30-29)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD