Mississippi State at Auburn - 2011 Matchup Preview
Mississippi State logo Mississippi State Bulldogs at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, September 10th 2011 (12:21 PM EDT)
Auburn 41 - Mississippi State: 34  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 20 (28 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST 2nd straight Road Game
AUB 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MSST: 32 - AUB: 28 (60)
MSST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 200 miles
Tigers (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Mississippi State at Memphis+2.5
Sat 9/10 Mississippi State at Auburn+2.5
Thu 9/15 Mississippi State vs LSU-23.5
Sat 9/24 Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech-23.5
Sat 10/1 Mississippi State at Georgia+2.5
Sat 10/8 Mississippi State at UAB+2.5
Sat 10/15 Mississippi State vs South Carolina-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Mississippi State at Kentucky+2.5
Sat 11/5 Mississippi State vs UT Martin-23.5
Sat 11/12 Mississippi State vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 11/19 Mississippi State at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 11/26 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss-23.5
Fri 12/30 Mississippi State vs Wake Forest+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Auburn's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Auburn vs Utah State-23.5
Sat 9/10 Auburn vs Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 9/17 Auburn at Clemson+2.5
Sat 9/24 Auburn vs Florida Atlantic-23.5
Sat 10/1 Auburn at South Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/8 Auburn at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 10/15 Auburn vs Florida-23.5
Sat 10/22 Auburn at LSU+2.5
Sat 10/29 Auburn vs Ole Miss-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 Auburn at Georgia+2.5
Sat 11/19 Auburn vs Samford-23.5
Sat 11/26 Auburn vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 12/31 Auburn vs Virginia-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.0139%25.341%2.7917535%196-0.18.0241%19.739%41%-0.2843.61.51.5
AUB.0139%25.743%2.9218232%171-0.18.1144%28.944%43%-0.09521.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1325.328.239.3%-0.181.5183571751964.456%42%41%35%2%.01
AUB Defense1328.924.744.4%-0.091.8 - - - - - 54%44%44%43%3%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1319.723.741.3%-0.281.5 - - - - - 50%48%39%41%3%.02
AUB Offense1325.731.439.5%-0.181.6173381821714.461%38%43%32%3%.01

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1316:3318.539%50%5.543.61.51.500429.7
Auburn1317:0217.536%50%5.8521.61.800432.3
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1356%41%39.5175.34.419.012.7973%0%0.77
AUB Defense1354%44% - - - - .062.9772%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1350%39% - - - - -.012.8665%0%0.75
AUB Offense1361%43%41.2182.34.4202.9268%0%0.74

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1342%35%15.226.8195.57.312.81913.021.233%26%.142%1.6
AUB Defense1344%43% - - - - - - 11.191.233%33%.243%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1348%41% - - - - - - 12.06133%31%.053%1.1
AUB Offense1338%32%12.622.5170.77.613.51713.021.333%31%.193%1.6

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2011 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Auburn: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Auburn:




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2011 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.2
Defense: 19.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Mississippi State's 2011 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 32
Auburn 28

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 36
Auburn 31

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 27
Auburn 25

Total Points: 52
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.4
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Auburn's 2011 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Auburn27Mississippi State13Auburn -6.5Auburn40.0Push
202211/05Mississippi State39Auburn33Mississippi State -12.5Auburn50.5Over
202111/13Auburn34Mississippi State43Auburn -6Mississippi State51.0Over
202012/12Mississippi State10Auburn24Auburn -5.5Auburn50.5Under
201909/28Auburn56Mississippi State23Auburn -7.5Auburn47.0Over
201810/06Mississippi State23Auburn9Auburn -3Mississippi State45.0Under
201709/30Auburn49Mississippi State10Auburn -7.5Auburn51.5Over
201610/08Mississippi State14Auburn38Mississippi State -1.5Auburn55.0Under
201509/26Auburn9Mississippi State17Auburn -3.5Mississippi State58.5Under
201410/11Mississippi State38Auburn23Auburn -3Mississippi State0
201309/14Auburn24Mississippi State20Auburn -6Mississippi State0
201209/08Mississippi State28Auburn10
201109/10Auburn41Mississippi State34
201009/09Mississippi State14Auburn17
200909/12Auburn49Mississippi State24
200809/13Mississippi State2Auburn3
200709/15Auburn14Mississippi State19
200609/09Mississippi State0Auburn34
200509/10Auburn28Mississippi State0
200409/11Mississippi State14Auburn43
200310/18Auburn45Mississippi State13
200209/19Mississippi State14Auburn42
200110/06Auburn16Mississippi State14
200010/06Mississippi State17Auburn10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn1664 Overs
Mississippi State854 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 105 - 63 - 52 - 1
Road Teams10 - 146 - 51 - 25 - 3

(#) MSST at (#) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSSTAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSST OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCatAUB OffMSST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCatAUB OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77°
Rematch from Week 2
()
Auburn won vs Mississippi State this year (41-34)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Mississippi State in 2023 (27-13)
Mississippi State beat Auburn in 2022 (39-33)

  
MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AUB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AUB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD