Purdue at Michigan State - 2010 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan State SpartansMichigan State logo
Saturday, November 20th 2010 (12:00 PM EST)
Michigan State 35 - Purdue: 31  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 29 (15 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU coming off BYE
PUR is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: PUR: 15 - MSU: 33 (48)
PUR Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PUR Travel: 202 miles
Spartans (11 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (35 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2010 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Purdue at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 9/11 Purdue vs Western Illinois-23.5
Sat 9/18 Purdue vs Ball State-23.5
Sat 9/25 Purdue vs Toledo-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 Purdue at Northwestern+2.5
Sat 10/16 Purdue vs Minnesota-23.5
Sat 10/23 Purdue at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 10/30 Purdue at Illinois+2.5
Sat 11/6 Purdue vs Wisconsin-23.5
Sat 11/13 Purdue vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 11/20 Purdue at Michigan State+2.5
Sat 11/27 Purdue vs Indiana-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Michigan State's 2010 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Michigan State vs Western Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/11 Michigan State vs Florida Atlantic+2.5
Sat 9/18 Michigan State vs Notre Dame-23.5
Sat 9/25 Michigan State vs Northern Colorado-23.5
Sat 10/2 Michigan State vs Wisconsin-23.5
Sat 10/9 Michigan State at Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/16 Michigan State vs Illinois-23.5
Sat 10/23 Michigan State at Northwestern+2.5
Sat 10/30 Michigan State at Iowa+2.5
Sat 11/6 Michigan State vs Minnesota-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20 Michigan State vs Purdue-23.5
Sat 11/27 Michigan State at Penn State+2.5
Sat 1/1 Michigan State vs Alabama-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Important Stats (2010)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR-.0537%19.737%2.6816135%159-0.21.0843%28.841%44%-0.18572.31.8
MSU.1243%29.538%2.7815246%253-0.09.0641%22.339%42%-0.09581.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)45% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)39% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9



Overall Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1219.714.637%-0.212.3163121611594.453%45%37%35%3%-.05
MSU Defense1322.317.341.4%-0.091.8 - - - - - 47%51%39%42%2%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1228.833.643.3%-0.181.8 - - - - - 49%50%41%44%3%.08
MSU Offense1329.534.742.8%-0.091.5193891522534.552%46%38%46%2%.12

Additional Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1217:3315.832%55%6.4572.31.800231.2
Michigan State1320:1419.438%71%6.7581.51.800130
Run Game Stats (2010)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1253%37%36.8160.84.412-.032.6864%0%0.82
MSU Defense1347%39% - - - - -.032.865%0%0.71
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1249%41% - - - - -.012.6168%0%0.76
MSU Offense1352%38%34.2152.24.525-.052.7859%0%0.78

Pass Game Stats (2010)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1245%35%16.429.5159.45.49.71317-.070.934%29%.123%1.4
MSU Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 16.151.236%39%.342%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1250%44% - - - - - - 10.181.132%39%.343%1.4
MSU Offense1346%46%18.828.72538.813.52310.321.332%38%.362%1.5

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2010 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2010 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2010 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Michigan State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Michigan State:




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2010 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2010 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2010 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.6
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.6

Purdue's 2010 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan State 33
Purdue 15

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan State 35
Purdue 10

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Michigan State 32
Purdue 19

Total Points: 51
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.7
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Michigan State's 2010 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/22Michigan State24Purdue17Michigan State -14Purdue49.0Under
202111/06Purdue40Michigan State29Michigan State -2.5Purdue53.0Over
201810/27Michigan State23Purdue13Purdue -2.5Michigan State48.5Under
201510/03Michigan State24Purdue21Michigan State -24.5Purdue53.0Under
201410/11Purdue31Michigan State45Michigan State -21.5Purdue0
201310/19Michigan State14Purdue0Michigan State -21Purdue0
201011/20Michigan State35Purdue31
200911/14Purdue37Michigan State40
200811/08Michigan State21Purdue7
200711/10Purdue31Michigan State48
200611/04Michigan State15Purdue17
200511/05Purdue28Michigan State21
200211/16Michigan State42Purdue45
200111/17Purdue24Michigan State14
200011/10Michigan State30Purdue10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State1011 Overs
Purdue553 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 53 - 30 - 33 - 0
Road Teams5 - 103 - 30 - 33 - 0

(#) PUR at (#) MSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCatMSU OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSU OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'10 Profile: Remains Poor G5

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'10 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 39° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 12
()
Michigan State won vs Purdue this year (35-31)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Purdue last year (24-17)

  
PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD