Southern Miss at UCF - 2010 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, November 13th 2010 (12:00 PM EST)
Southern Miss 31 - UCF: 21  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Eagles (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 30 (32 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM 2nd straight Road Game
UCF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: USM: 30 - UCF: 34 (64)
USM Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 522 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (11 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 17 (33 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2010 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Southern Miss at South Carolina+2.5
Sat 9/11 Southern Miss vs Prairie View A&M-23.5
Fri 9/17 Southern Miss vs Kansas-23.5
Sat 9/25 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+2.5
Sat 10/2 Southern Miss vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 10/9 Southern Miss vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/16 Southern Miss at Memphis+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Southern Miss vs UAB-23.5
Sat 11/6 Southern Miss at Tulane+2.5
Sat 11/13 Southern Miss at UCF+2.5
Sat 11/20 Southern Miss vs Houston-23.5
Fri 11/26 Southern Miss at Tulsa+2.5
Tue 12/21 Southern Miss vs Louisville+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
UCF's 2010 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 UCF vs South Dakota-23.5
Sat 9/11 UCF vs NC State-23.5
Sat 9/18 UCF at Buffalo+2.5
Sat 9/25 UCF at Kansas State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/6 UCF vs UAB-23.5
Wed 10/13 UCF at Marshall+2.5
Sat 10/23 UCF vs Rice-23.5
Sat 10/30 UCF vs East Carolina-23.5
Fri 11/5 UCF at Houston+2.5
Sat 11/13 UCF vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 11/20 UCF at Tulane+2.5
Sat 11/27 UCF at Memphis+2.5
Sat 12/4 UCF vs SMU-23.5
Fri 12/31 UCF vs Georgia-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2010)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM.0945%36.844%2.9820142%262-0.07-.0135%29.532%36%0.0969.61.42
UCF.0948%32.147%3.0218848%195-0.08.0139%17.139%38%-0.2340.41.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1336.832.345%-0.071.4244532012624.751%46%44%42%1%.09
UCF Defense1417.118.439.4%-0.231.7 - - - - - 45%54%39%38%2%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1329.529.835.3%0.092 - - - - - 46%52%32%36%3%-.01
UCF Offense1432.132.748.1%-0.081.3213741881954.464%34%47%48%3%.09

Additional Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1319:2224.349%53%7.569.61.4200433.5
UCF1420:4620.751%67%5.140.41.31.700735.9
Run Game Stats (2010)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1351%44%43200.84.728.042.9864%0%0.71
UCF Defense1445%39% - - - - -.032.6273%0%0.72
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1346%32% - - - - -.132.1554%0%0.81
UCF Offense1464%47%43187.64.436.023.0268%0%0.65

Pass Game Stats (2010)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1346%42%22.636.2261.57.211.6248.161.331%40%.271%1.3
UCF Defense1454%38% - - - - - - 17.061.135%32%.262%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1352%36% - - - - - - 16.111.335%27%.153%1.6
UCF Offense1434%48%13.621.1194.99.214.31611.261.226%38%.193%1.1

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2010 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2010 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2010 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    UCF: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    UCF:




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2010 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2010 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2010 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Southern Miss's 2010 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 34
Southern Miss 30

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 37
Southern Miss 34

Total Points: 71

Based on Entire Season
UCF 31
Southern Miss 26

Total Points: 57
UCF Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.7
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.4

UCF's 2010 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201210/13UCF38Southern Miss31
201111/12Southern Miss30UCF29
201011/13UCF21Southern Miss31
200909/12Southern Miss26UCF19
200811/08UCF6Southern Miss17
200710/28Southern Miss17UCF34
200609/26UCF14Southern Miss19
200510/15Southern Miss52UCF31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF200 Overs
Southern Miss600 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) USM at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
USM OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'10 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'10 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 74° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 11
()
Southern Miss won at UCF this year (31-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USM's OC ()
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USM's DC ()
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UCF's OC ()
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UCF's DC ()
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