Middle Tennessee at Arkansas State - 2010 Matchup Preview
 
Blue Raiders (6 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 28 (24 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU coming off BYE
ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MTSU: 26 - ARST: 30 (56)
MTSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 241 miles
Red Wolves (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (36 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2010 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Middle Tennessee vs Minnesota-23.5
Sat 9/11 Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay-23.5
Sat 9/18 Middle Tennessee at Memphis+2.5
Sat 9/25 Middle Tennessee at Louisiana+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/5 Middle Tennessee vs Troy-23.5
Sat 10/16 Middle Tennessee at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/23 Middle Tennessee vs UL Monroe-23.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Middle Tennessee at Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 11/13 Middle Tennessee vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 11/20 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+2.5
Sat 11/27 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic-23.5
Sat 12/4 Middle Tennessee at Florida International+2.5
Thu 1/6 Middle Tennessee vs Miami (OH)+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2010 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arkansas State at Auburn+2.5
Sat 9/11 Arkansas State at Louisiana+2.5
Sat 9/18 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-23.5
Sat 9/25 Arkansas State at Troy+2.5
Sat 10/2 Arkansas State vs Louisville-23.5
Sat 10/9 Arkansas State at North Texas+2.5
Sat 10/16 Arkansas State at Indiana+2.5
Sat 10/23 Arkansas State vs Florida Atlantic-23.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sat 11/13 Arkansas State vs Western Kentucky-23.5
Sat 11/20 Arkansas State at Navy+2.5
Sat 11/27 Arkansas State at Florida International+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2010)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.0142%26.541%2.7818141%203-0.18.0339%28.140%37%-0.3255.82.91.5
ARST.0944%3042%2.9514944%268-0.11.0644%30.848%36%058.322.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4



Overall Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1326.52442%-0.182.9193721812034.556%43%41%41%3%.01
ARST Defense1230.82644.3%02.1 - - - - - 60%38%48%36%2%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1328.130.739.3%-0.321.5 - - - - - 55%43%40%37%3%.03
ARST Offense123036.243.8%-0.112224031492684.345%54%42%44%3%.09

Additional Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1315:3218.638%58%6.255.82.91.500329.5
Arkansas State1216:1721.834%44%6.958.322.100132.1
Run Game Stats (2010)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1356%41%40.4180.84.532-.032.7864%0%0.73
ARST Defense1260%48% - - - - .053.263%0%0.69
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1355%40% - - - - .012.8563%0%0.79
ARST Offense1245%42%35149.14.323.062.9581%0%0.77

Pass Game Stats (2010)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1343%41%17.429.5203.26.911.7924.07131%31%.173%1.3
ARST Defense1238%36% - - - - - - 11.081.328%35%.212%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1343%37% - - - - - - 11.081.231%34%.243%1.4
ARST Offense1254%44%2236.3268.37.412.22312.131.132%35%.273%1.4

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2010 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2010 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2010 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Arkansas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Arkansas State:




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2010 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2010 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2010 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Middle Tennessee's 2010 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 30
Middle Tennessee 26

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas State 29
Middle Tennessee 25

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State 31
Middle Tennessee 27

Total Points: 58
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Arkansas State's 2010 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201712/16Arkansas State30Middle Tennessee35Arkansas State -3.5Middle Tennessee61.0Over
201212/01Arkansas State45Middle Tennessee0
201111/19Middle Tennessee19Arkansas State45
201011/02Arkansas State51Middle Tennessee24
200911/21Middle Tennessee38Arkansas State14
200809/20Arkansas State31Middle Tennessee14
200710/20Middle Tennessee24Arkansas State7
200611/11Arkansas State10Middle Tennessee38
200511/05Middle Tennessee45Arkansas State7
200410/09Middle Tennessee45Arkansas State17
200311/20Arkansas State14Middle Tennessee24
200210/05Arkansas State13Middle Tennessee7
200111/03Middle Tennessee54Arkansas State6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State501 Overs
Middle Tennessee810 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 40 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams4 - 91 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) MTSU at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'10 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'10 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 53° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.031
Rematch from Week 10
()
Arkansas State won vs Middle Tennessee this year (51-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MTSU's OC ()
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ARST's OC ()
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