Northwestern at Auburn - 2009 Matchup Preview
Northwestern logo Northwestern Wildcats vs Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Friday, January 1st 2010 (11:00 AM EST)
Auburn 38 - Northwestern: 35  (OUTBACK BOWL)

 
Wildcats (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (23 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: NW: 23 - AUB: 25 (48)
NW Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
NW Travel: 1016 miles, 1 hrs behind
Tigers (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (39 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Northwestern vs Towson-23.5
Sat 9/12 Northwestern vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/19 Northwestern at Syracuse+2.5
Sat 9/26 Northwestern vs Minnesota-23.5
Sat 10/3 Northwestern at Purdue+2.5
Sat 10/10 Northwestern vs Miami (OH)-23.5
Sat 10/17 Northwestern at Michigan State+2.5
Sat 10/24 Northwestern vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 10/31 Northwestern vs Penn State-23.5
Sat 11/7 Northwestern at Iowa+2.5
Sat 11/14 Northwestern at Illinois+2.5
Sat 11/21 Northwestern vs Wisconsin-23.5
Fri 1/1 Northwestern vs Auburn+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Auburn's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Auburn vs Louisiana Tech-23.5
Sat 9/12 Auburn vs Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 9/19 Auburn vs West Virginia-23.5
Sat 9/26 Auburn vs Ball State-23.5
Sat 10/3 Auburn at Tennessee+2.5
Sat 10/10 Auburn at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 10/17 Auburn vs Kentucky-23.5
Sat 10/24 Auburn at LSU+2.5
Sat 10/31 Auburn vs Ole Miss-23.5
Sat 11/7 Auburn vs Furman-23.5
Sat 11/14 Auburn at Georgia+2.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 Auburn vs Alabama-23.5
Fri 1/1 Auburn vs Northwestern-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW.0642%25.938%2.7111844%303-0.2341%24.540%40%-0.0944.92.12.2
AUB.0843%33.348%3.121235%235-0.07-.0140%27.539%39%-0.0864.41.71.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense1325.922.642.3%-0.232.1234041183033.144%54%38%44%2%.06
AUB Defense1327.524.439.8%-0.081.9 - - - - - 47%51%39%39%5%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense1324.521.640.9%-0.092.2 - - - - - 47%51%40%40%3%
AUB Offense1333.33943.3%-0.071.720432212235556%42%48%35%2%.08

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern1318:5423.246%60%5.644.92.12.200130.6
Auburn1317:4520.540%29%7.464.41.71.900531.3
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense1344%38%38.7117.83.118-.082.7166%0%0.64
AUB Defense1347%39% - - - - -.052.8268%0%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense1347%40% - - - - -.12.7264%0%0.65
AUB Offense1356%48%42.3212524.073.172%0%0.79

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense1354%44%26.340.8303.57.411.52014.171.232%34%.242%1.4
AUB Defense1351%39% - - - - - - 17.041.135%30%.085%1.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense1351%40% - - - - - - 16.111.131%28%.183%1.5
AUB Offense1342%35%16.828234.58.414259.111.431%35%.292%1.6

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2009 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Auburn: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Auburn:




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 0 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2009 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Northwestern's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 25
Northwestern 23


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 21
Auburn 19

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 30
Northwestern 25

Total Points: 55
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.4

Auburn's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202001/01Northwestern35Auburn19Northwestern -3.5Northwestern43.5Over
200901/01Auburn38Northwestern35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn101 Overs
Northwestern110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

Northwestern Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2009Outback Bowl Northwestern vs Auburn  L 35 - 38
2008N/A Northwestern vs Missouri  L 23 - 30
2005N/A Northwestern vs UCLA  L 38 - 50
2003N/A Northwestern vs Bowling Green  L 24 - 28
Auburn Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2009Outback Bowl Auburn vs Northwestern  W 38 - 35
2007N/A Auburn vs Clemson  W 23 - 20
2006Cotton Bowl Auburn vs Nebraska  W 17 - 14
2005One Bowl Auburn vs Wisconsin  L 10 - 24
2004Sugar Bowl Auburn vs Virginia Tech  W 16 - 13
2003N/A Auburn vs Wisconsin  W 28 - 14
  
(#) NW at (#) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCat
NW OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCat
NW OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCatAUB OffNW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCatAUB OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 65° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 1
()
Auburn won vs Northwestern this year (38-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NW's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NW's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AUB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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AUB's DC ()
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