Alabama at Florida State - 2007 Matchup Preview
 
Crimson Tide (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (20 - 19 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 20.8 MPH
FSU coming off BYE
ALA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ALA: 25 - FSU: 24 (49)
ALA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 471 miles, 1 hrs behind
Seminoles (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Alabama vs Western Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/8 Alabama at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 9/15 Alabama vs Arkansas-23.5
Sat 9/22 Alabama vs Georgia-23.5
Sat 9/29 Alabama at Florida State+2.5
Sat 10/6 Alabama vs Houston-23.5
Sat 10/13 Alabama at Ole Miss+2.5
Sat 10/20 Alabama vs Tennessee-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Alabama vs LSU-23.5
Sat 11/10 Alabama at Mississippi State+2.5
Sat 11/17 Alabama vs UL Monroe-23.5
Sat 11/24 Alabama at Auburn+2.5
Sun 12/30 Alabama at Colorado+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Florida State's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/3 Florida State at Clemson+2.5
Sat 9/8 Florida State vs UAB-23.5
Sat 9/15 Florida State at Colorado+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 Florida State vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 10/6 Florida State vs NC State-23.5
Thu 10/11 Florida State at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 10/20 Florida State vs Miami-23.5
Sat 10/27 Florida State vs Duke-23.5
Sat 11/3 Florida State at Boston College+2.5
Sat 11/10 Florida State at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/17 Florida State vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 11/24 Florida State at Florida+2.5
Mon 12/31 Florida State vs Kentucky-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.0342%27.141%2.9114939%238-0.08.0240%2242%36%034.81.71.8
FSU.0338%23.334%2.4512738%2520-.0135%22.932%36%-0.0866.91.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1327.119.541.5%-0.081.723335149238447%50%41%39%2%.03
FSU Defense1322.920.334.8%-0.082.2 - - - - - 46%53%32%36%2%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense132218.839.7%01.8 - - - - - 48%50%42%36%3%.02
FSU Offense1323.326.938.3%01.8183691272523.746%51%34%38%3%.03

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1319:0922.638%50%4.534.81.71.800132.4
Florida State1318:1818.132%47%8.266.91.82.200532.4
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1347%41%37.7149.2419.012.9178%0%0.71
FSU Defense1346%32% - - - - -.132.2761%0%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1348%42% - - - - -.012.7273%0%0.74
FSU Offense1346%34%34.3127.53.712-.092.4561%0%0.78

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1350%39%20.236.3237.76.611.81912.061.133%30%.122%1.3
FSU Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 17.111.438%28%.152%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1350%36% - - - - - - 19.061.236%31%.263%1.6
FSU Offense1351%38%19.735.8251.5712.81510.161.339%35%.243%1.4

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2007 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Florida State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Florida State:




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2007 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Alabama's 2007 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 25
Florida State 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 27
Florida State 24

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 23
Alabama 22

Total Points: 45
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

Florida State's 2007 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Florida State31Alabama17Alabama -13.5Florida State50.5Under
201709/02Alabama24Florida State7Alabama -7.5Alabama51.0Under
200709/29Florida State21Alabama14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State210 Overs
Alabama112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#) ALA at (#) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCatFSU OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCatFSU OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Municipal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 82° - Wind: 21 mph
Rematch from Week 5
()
Florida State won vs Alabama this year (21-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ALA's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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FSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD