Arkansas at Mississippi State - 2006 Matchup Preview
 
Razorbacks (10 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (27 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST coming off BYE
ARK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ARK: 27 - MSST: 20 (47)
ARK Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARK Travel: 355 miles
Bulldogs (3 - 9) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arkansas vs USC-23.5
Sat 9/9 Arkansas vs Utah State-23.5
Sat 9/16 Arkansas at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 9/23 Arkansas vs Alabama-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Arkansas at Auburn+2.5
Sat 10/14 Arkansas vs Southeast Missouri State-23.5
Sat 10/21 Arkansas vs Ole Miss-23.5
Sat 10/28 Arkansas at UL Monroe+2.5
Sat 11/4 Arkansas at South Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/11 Arkansas vs Tennessee-23.5
Sat 11/18 Arkansas at Mississippi State+2.5
Fri 11/24 Arkansas vs LSU-23.5
Sat 12/2 Arkansas at Florida+2.5
Mon 1/1 Arkansas at Wisconsin+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Mississippi State vs South Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/9 Mississippi State vs Auburn-23.5
Sat 9/16 Mississippi State vs Tulane-23.5
Sat 9/23 Mississippi State at UAB+2.5
Sat 9/30 Mississippi State at LSU+2.5
Sat 10/7 Mississippi State vs West Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/14 Mississippi State vs Jacksonville State-23.5
Sat 10/21 Mississippi State at Georgia+2.5
Sat 10/28 Mississippi State vs Kentucky-23.5
Sat 11/4 Mississippi State at Alabama+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-23.5
Sat 11/25 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2006)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK-39%28.940%2.9622936%155-0.08-.0433%18.333%31%-0.153.11.81.6
MSST-.0731%18.431%2.269631%205-0.24.0438%25.834%41%-0.151.92.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1428.926.939%-0.081.8183472291555.963%36%40%36%3%-
MSST Defense1225.826.938.5%-0.11.8 - - - - - 53%45%34%41%2%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense1418.318.333.1%-0.11.6 - - - - - 48%51%33%31%4%-.04
MSST Offense1218.417.631.3%-0.242.316262962052.947%52%31%31%3%-.07

Additional Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1418:1017.842%31%5.953.11.81.600333.8
Mississippi State1218:2615.836%33%5.551.92.31.800430
Run Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1463%40%38.5228.55.926.022.9668%0%0.83
MSST Defense1253%34% - - - - -.032.5268%0%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1448%33% - - - - -.042.1780%0%0.89
MSST Offense1247%31%32.895.62.914-.112.2657%0%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1436%36%1121.6154.57.214.12318-.021.231%28%.073%1.5
MSST Defense1245%41% - - - - - - 12.121.235%33%.32%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1451%31% - - - - - - 16-.051.238%27%.114%1.5
MSST Offense1252%31%14.330.1205.36.814.41016-.041.439%30%.123%1.5

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas's 2006 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2006 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.9
Defense: 18.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

Arkansas's 2006 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas 27
Mississippi State 20

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas 27
Mississippi State 22

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas 27
Mississippi State 18

Total Points: 45
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.6
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.9

Mississippi State's 2006 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Arkansas35Mississippi State38Arkansas -5.5Mississippi State66.5Over
202410/26Mississippi State25Arkansas58Arkansas -7.5Arkansas55.0Over
202310/21Arkansas3Mississippi State7Arkansas -6.5Mississippi State46.5Under
202210/08Mississippi State40Arkansas17Mississippi State -8Mississippi State55.5Over
202111/06Arkansas31Mississippi State28Arkansas -4Mississippi State54.0Over
202010/03Mississippi State14Arkansas21Mississippi State -16.5Arkansas68.0Under
201911/02Arkansas24Mississippi State54Mississippi State -7Mississippi State59.0Over
201811/17Mississippi State52Arkansas6Mississippi State -22.5Mississippi State49.0Over
201711/18Arkansas21Mississippi State28Mississippi State -14Arkansas56.0Under
201611/19Mississippi State42Arkansas58Mississippi State -1Arkansas57.5Over
201511/21Arkansas50Mississippi State51Arkansas -3Mississippi State59.0Over
201411/01Mississippi State17Arkansas10Mississippi State -14Arkansas0
201311/23Arkansas17Mississippi State24Mississippi State -3Mississippi State0
201211/17Mississippi State45Arkansas14
201111/19Arkansas44Mississippi State17
201011/20Mississippi State31Arkansas38
200911/21Arkansas42Mississippi State21
200811/22Mississippi State31Arkansas28
200711/17Arkansas45Mississippi State31
200611/18Mississippi State14Arkansas28
200511/19Arkansas44Mississippi State10
200411/20Mississippi State21Arkansas24
200311/22Arkansas52Mississippi State6
200111/17Arkansas24Mississippi State21
200011/17Mississippi State10Arkansas17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State1188 Overs
Arkansas1453 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 133 - 102 - 71 - 3
Road Teams13 - 1210 - 33 - 17 - 2

(#) ARK at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARKMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCat
ARK OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffARK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffARK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffARK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 12
()
Arkansas won at Mississippi State this year (28-14)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas beat Mississippi State last year (58-25)
Mississippi State beat Arkansas in 2023 (7-3)
Mississippi State beat Arkansas in 2022 (40-17)

  
ARK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD