East Carolina at Southern Miss - 2006 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss logo
Saturday, October 28th 2006 (7:30 PM EDT)
East Carolina 20 - Southern Miss: 17  (Conference USA)

 
Pirates (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (19 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM is playing their 5th straight game
ECU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ECU: 18 - USM: 21 (39)
ECU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 750 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Eagles (9 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (32 - 14 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 East Carolina at Navy+2.5
Sat 9/9 East Carolina at UAB+2.5
Sat 9/16 East Carolina vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 9/23 East Carolina vs West Virginia-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 East Carolina vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/14 East Carolina vs Tulsa-23.5
Sat 10/21 East Carolina vs SMU-23.5
Sat 10/28 East Carolina at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 11/4 East Carolina at UCF+2.5
Sat 11/11 East Carolina vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 11/18 East Carolina at Rice+2.5
Sat 11/25 East Carolina at NC State+2.5
Sat 12/23 East Carolina vs South Florida-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Southern Miss at Florida+2.5
Sat 9/9 Southern Miss vs SE Louisiana-23.5
Sat 9/16 Southern Miss vs NC State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 9/26 Southern Miss at UCF+2.5
Tue 10/3 Southern Miss at Tulsa+2.5
Sat 10/14 Southern Miss vs Houston-23.5
Sat 10/21 Southern Miss at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/28 Southern Miss vs East Carolina-23.5
Sun 11/5 Southern Miss at Memphis+2.5
Sat 11/11 Southern Miss at Tulane+2.5
Sat 11/18 Southern Miss vs UAB-23.5
Sat 11/25 Southern Miss vs Marshall-23.5
Fri 12/1 Southern Miss at Houston+2.5
Sun 1/7 Southern Miss vs Ohio-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2006)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.0742%21.541%2.5211641%2490.0343%20.847%38%-0.0939.31.82.2
USM.0542%25.443%2.9117037%169-0.23.0339%18.640%37%-0.141.71.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8



Overall Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1321.519.342%01.8203481162493.347%51%41%41%3%.07
USM Defense1418.61438.6%-0.11.9 - - - - - 50%50%40%37%3%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1320.817.743.4%-0.092.2 - - - - - 53%46%47%38%4%.03
USM Offense1425.432.141.6%-0.231.4193311701694.457%41%43%37%3%.05

Additional Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1318:2220.343%56%4.539.31.82.200328.5
Southern Miss1418:5618.941%33%5.341.71.41.900531
Run Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1347%41%34.6115.53.316-.052.5261%0%0.74
USM Defense1450%40% - - - - -.012.7364%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1353%47% - - - - .063.1175%0%0.65
USM Offense1457%43%38.2169.94.423.022.9174%0%0.74

Pass Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1351%41%19.133.1248.97.513.11211.21.334%35%.293%1.6
USM Defense1450%37% - - - - - - 17.081.234%27%.173%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1346%38% - - - - - - 16.011.131%29%.194%1.5
USM Offense1441%37%14.125.2169.46.712147.131.433%32%.223%1.4

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2006 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Southern Miss: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Southern Miss:




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2006 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 21.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.3
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.7

East Carolina's 2006 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 21
East Carolina 18

Total Points: 39

Based on Last 4 Games
East Carolina 18
Southern Miss 18

Total Points: 36

Based on Entire Season
Southern Miss 24
East Carolina 18

Total Points: 42
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 18.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14

Southern Miss's 2006 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201310/19East Carolina55Southern Miss14East Carolina -21East Carolina0
201209/15Southern Miss14East Carolina24
201111/05East Carolina28Southern Miss48
201010/09Southern Miss43East Carolina44
200911/28East Carolina25Southern Miss20
200811/15Southern Miss21East Carolina3
200709/15East Carolina21Southern Miss28
200610/28Southern Miss17East Carolina20
200510/01East Carolina7Southern Miss33
200410/23Southern Miss51East Carolina10
200311/29East Carolina21Southern Miss38
200111/23East Carolina21Southern Miss28
200011/23Southern Miss9East Carolina14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss700 Overs
East Carolina610 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 91 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams9 - 40 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) ECU at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 9
()
East Carolina won at Southern Miss this year (20-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD