Virginia at Duke - 2004 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo (#16)Virginia Cavaliers at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, October 23rd 2004 (1:00 PM EDT)
Virginia 37 - Duke: 16  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (8 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 18 (26 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UVA: 27 - DUKE: 21 (48)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 143 miles
Blue Devils (2 - 9) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 29 (20 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2004 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/4 Virginia at Temple+2.5
Sat 9/11 Virginia vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/18 Virginia vs Akron-23.5
Sat 9/25 Virginia vs Syracuse-23.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/7 Virginia vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 10/16 Virginia at Florida State+2.5
Sat 10/23 Virginia at Duke+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Virginia vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 11/13 Virginia vs Miami-23.5
Sat 11/20 Virginia at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/27 Virginia at Virginia Tech+2.5
Mon 12/27 Virginia at Fresno State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Duke's 2004 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/4 Duke at Navy+2.5
Sat 9/11 Duke at UConn+2.5
Sat 9/18 Duke at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/25 Duke vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 10/2 Duke vs The Citadel-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Duke at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/23 Duke vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/30 Duke at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 11/6 Duke at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/13 Duke vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 11/20 Duke vs North Carolina-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2004)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%30.30%000%000%17.70%0%0000
DUKE0%16.60%000%000%29.30%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2004
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1230.326.30%00000000%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Defense1129.3310%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1217.722.80%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Offense1116.619.60%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2004
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia120:000NAN%0%0000000100
Duke110:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2004)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense120%0%000000%0%0
DUKE Defense110%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense120%0% - - - - 00%0%0
DUKE Offense110%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2004)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense120%0%000000000%0%0%0
DUKE Defense110%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense120%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
DUKE Offense110%0%000000000%0%0%0

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2004 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2004 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2004 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Duke: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Duke:




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2004 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2004 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2004 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 17.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Virginia's 2004 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 27
Duke 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 24
Duke 23

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Virginia 29
Duke 19

Total Points: 48
Duke Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.6
Defense: 29.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

Duke's 2004 Record
Record: 2 - 9
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 11
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/06Virginia20Duke27Virginia -3.5Duke58.5Under
202511/15Duke17Virginia34Duke -5.5Virginia59.5Under
202311/18Virginia30Duke27Duke -4Virginia48.5Over
202210/01Duke38Virginia17Duke -2Duke55.0Push
202110/16Virginia48Duke0Virginia -10.5Virginia69.5Under
202009/26Virginia38Duke20Virginia -3.5Virginia44.5Over
201910/19Virginia48Duke14Virginia -3.5Virginia45.0Over
201810/20Duke14Virginia28Duke -6.5Virginia45.5Under
201710/07Virginia28Duke21Duke -1.5Virginia53.0Under
201610/01Duke20Virginia34Duke -5Virginia60.5Under
201511/21Virginia42Duke34Virginia -2.5Virginia53.5Over
201410/18Duke20Virginia13Duke -5Duke0
201310/19Virginia22Duke35Virginia -4Duke0
201210/06Duke42Virginia17
201111/12Virginia31Duke21
201011/06Duke55Virginia48
200910/31Virginia17Duke28
200809/27Duke31Virginia3
200709/08Virginia24Duke13
200609/30Duke0Virginia37
200509/24Virginia38Duke7
200410/23Duke16Virginia37
200308/30Virginia27Duke0
200210/05Duke22Virginia27
200109/29Virginia31Duke10
200009/15Duke10Virginia26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke844 Overs
Virginia1896 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 108 - 56 - 52 - 0
Road Teams10 - 165 - 80 - 25 - 6

(#) UVA at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVADUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'04 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'04 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 61° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 9
()
Virginia won at Duke this year (37-16)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Duke in 2023 (30-27)
Duke beat Virginia in 2022 (38-17)

  
UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD