Boston College at Georgia Tech Week 8 College Football Matchup Boston College at Georgia Tech Matchup - Week 8
Sat, Oct 24 2026 · Week 8 · 🏟 Bobby Dodd Stadium at Historic Grant Field Atlanta, GA · Turf · 55,000 cap
Boston College✈ 929 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2026 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2025 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Boston College
22
Georgia Tech
37
P&R Line Georgia Tech -15
P&R Total O/U 59
Confidence 69 Good
Matchup Prediction
Georgia Tech has the edge in this matchup
Both Momentum Control (CSS) and Game Control metrics favor Georgia Tech entering this game.
Momentum Control
71.6%
Georgia Tech wins
Solid
Game Control
67.1%
Georgia Tech wins
Solid
Advanced Stats
All 4 factors agree → Georgia Tech · 83.1% ATS historically when all four align
↓ See full breakdown
Boston College 2026 Schedule
Boston College's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Boston College at Cincinnati+11.5
Fri 9/11Boston College vs Rutgers+4.5
Sat 9/19Boston College vs Maine-16
Sat 9/26Boston College vs Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/3Boston College at SMU+24.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17Boston College vs Pittsburgh+13.5
Sat 10/24Boston College at Georgia Tech+15
Sat 10/31Boston College at Duke+15
Sat 11/7Boston College vs Florida State+12
Sat 11/14Boston College at Notre Dame+31
Sat 11/21Boston College vs Syracuse-3
Sat 11/28Boston College at Miami+29.5
Georgia Tech 2026 Schedule
Georgia Tech's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3Georgia Tech vs Colorado-12
Sat 9/12Georgia Tech vs Tennessee+7
Sat 9/19Georgia Tech vs Mercer-28
Sat 9/26Georgia Tech at Stanford-11
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10Georgia Tech vs Duke-2.5
Sat 10/17Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech-5
Sat 10/24Georgia Tech vs Boston College-15
Sat 10/31Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh+6
Fri 11/6Georgia Tech vs Louisville+4
Sat 11/14Georgia Tech at Clemson+6
Sat 11/21Georgia Tech vs Wake Forest-2.5
Sat 11/28Georgia Tech at Georgia+23.5
Advanced Stats
Advanced Analytics Matchup
Matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense) · 2025 season (prior year)
Georgia Tech PPA Edge
Agreement Signals — When All Metrics Agree
Elite · 83.1% ATS
PPA + PPO + SR + Havoc
All 4 Agree
→ Georgia Tech
Elite · 82.4% ATS
PPA + PPO + Havoc
3 Agree
→ Georgia Tech
Elite · 73.9% ATS
PPA + Success Rate
Both Agree
→ Georgia Tech
Individual Factors — Ranked by Predictive Strength
PPA Overall
Points added per play · Elite predictor
Boston College #79
+0.354
Georgia Tech #21
+0.505
Georgia Tech Edge
PPA Passing
Pass efficiency edge · Strong predictor
Boston College #66
+0.540
Georgia Tech #15
+0.806
Georgia Tech Edge
Havoc Total
Def. disruption rate · Strong predictor
Boston College #126
0.123
Georgia Tech #108
0.137
TFLs, sacks, PBUs, forced fumbles — higher is better
Georgia Tech Edge
Points Per Opp
Drive-finishing edge · Strong predictor
Boston College #99
+6.952
Georgia Tech #78
+7.434
Georgia Tech Edge
Success Rate
Play consistency edge · Solid predictor
Boston College #66
+0.862
Georgia Tech #7
+0.919
Georgia Tech Edge
Field Position
Avg start (lower=better) · Solid predictor
Boston College #109
72.4
Georgia Tech #99
71.9
Avg yards from own endzone to average start — lower is better · longer bar = better field position
Georgia Tech Edge
Advanced stats sourced from CFBD · 2025 season (prior year — 2026 data not yet available) · Edges are matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense)
Power Ratings
Team Power Ratings
Overall · Offense · Defense ratings · Updated as season progresses
Georgia Tech Rated Higher
Overall Power Rating
Boston College #103
-6.0
Georgia Tech #62
1.1
Offense Rating
Boston College #108
10.7
Georgia Tech #88
14.2
Defense Rating (lower = better defense)
Boston College #86
16.8
Georgia Tech #48
13.1
Power ratings updated throughout the season as results accumulate
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Georgia Tech Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Boston College #90
0.64
Georgia Tech #14
1.67
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Boston College #96
1.64
Georgia Tech #71
1.00
Georgia Tech +1.03
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 71.6% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Georgia Tech Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Boston College #112
30.3
Georgia Tech #61
46.3
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Boston College #109
51.0
Georgia Tech #59
35.7
Georgia Tech +15.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 67.1% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Coaching Matchup
Boston College
Bill O'Brien #117
9–16 (36%) · Yr 3 at school
OC Vacant Yr 1 #122
DC Ted Roof Yr 1 #106
Staff Rating
2.07 #121
Georgia Tech
Brent Key #62
27–20 (57%) · Yr 5 at school
OC George Godsey Yr 1 #67
DC Jason Semore Yr 1 #42
Staff Rating
2.81 #63
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself