Sat, Nov 14 2026
·
Week 11
·
🏟 Memorial Stadium
Clemson, SC
·
Turf
·
81,500 cap
Georgia Tech✈ 108 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2026 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2025 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Metrics disagree on this matchup
Momentum Control favors Georgia Tech,
while Game Control favors Clemson.
Split signals historically show weaker predictive confidence — treat as a toss-up.
⚡ Split Signal — Metrics Disagree
Momentum Control
61.3%
Georgia Tech wins
Lean
Game Control
50.6%
Clemson wins
Toss-up
Advanced Stats
3 factors agree (PPA + PPO + Havoc) → Clemson
· 82.4% ATS historically
↓ See full breakdown
Georgia Tech 2026 Schedule
Georgia Tech's 2026 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9/3 | Georgia Tech vs Colorado | -5.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/12 | Georgia Tech vs Tennessee | +8.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/19 | Georgia Tech vs Mercer | -27 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/26 | Georgia Tech at Stanford | -4 | — | — | — | — |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/10 | Georgia Tech vs Duke | -1.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/17 | Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech | +6.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/24 | Georgia Tech vs Boston College | -10 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/31 | Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh | +7 | — | — | — | — |
| Fri 11/6 | Georgia Tech vs Louisville | +5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/14 | Georgia Tech at Clemson | +9.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/21 | Georgia Tech vs Wake Forest | -2 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/28 | Georgia Tech at Georgia | +26 | — | — | — | — |
Clemson 2026 Schedule
Clemson's 2026 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/5 | Clemson at LSU | +11.5 | 51.5 | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/12 | Clemson vs Georgia Southern | -21 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/19 | Clemson vs North Carolina | -11 | — | — | — | — |
| Fri 9/25 | Clemson at California | -3.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/3 | Clemson vs Miami | +9.5 | — | — | — | — |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/17 | Clemson vs Charleston Southern | -30.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/24 | Clemson vs Virginia Tech | -5.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/31 | Clemson at Florida State | -0 | — | — | — | — |
| Fri 11/6 | Clemson at Syracuse | -9.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/14 | Clemson vs Georgia Tech | -9.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/21 | Clemson at Duke | -3.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/28 | Clemson vs South Carolina | -4.5 | — | — | — | — |
Advanced Stats
Advanced Analytics Matchup
Matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense) ·
2025 season (prior year)
Agreement Signals — When All Metrics Agree
Elite · 83.1% ATS
PPA + PPO + SR + Havoc
Split
Metrics disagree
Elite · 82.4% ATS
PPA + PPO + Havoc
3 Agree
→ Clemson
Elite · 73.9% ATS
PPA + Success Rate
Split
Metrics disagree
Individual Factors — Ranked by Predictive Strength
PPA Overall
Points added per play · Elite predictor
PPA Passing
Pass efficiency edge · Strong predictor
Havoc Total
Def. disruption rate · Strong predictor
TFLs, sacks, PBUs, forced fumbles — higher is better
Points Per Opp
Drive-finishing edge · Strong predictor
Success Rate
Play consistency edge · Solid predictor
Field Position
Avg start (lower=better) · Solid predictor
Avg yards from own endzone to average start — lower is better · longer bar = better field position
Advanced stats sourced from CFBD · 2025 season (prior year — 2026 data not yet available) ·
Edges are matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense)
Power Ratings
Team Power Ratings
Overall · Offense · Defense ratings · Updated as season progresses
Power ratings updated throughout the season as results accumulate
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Georgia Tech Edge
Georgia Tech +0.67
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 61.3% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Clemson Edge
Clemson +1.4
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 50.6% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Coaching Matchup
Georgia Tech
Brent Key #62
27–20 (57%)
· Yr 5 at school
OC
George Godsey
Yr 1
#67
DC
Jason Semore
Yr 1
#42
Clemson
Dabo Swinney #29
186–53 (78%)
· Yr 18 at school
OC
Chad Morris
Yr 1
#67
DC
Tom Allen
Yr 2
#16
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓