Wofford at Ole Miss Week 12 College Football Matchup Wofford at Ole Miss Matchup - Week 12
Sat, Nov 21 2026 · Week 12 · 🏟 Vaught-Hemingway Stadium Oxford, MS · Turf · 64,038 cap
Wofford✈ 433 mi-1 hr TZ
Away
VS
Home
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2026 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2025 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Wofford
15
Ole Miss
35
P&R Line Ole Miss -20
P&R Total O/U 50
Confidence 55 Early Season
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Lean
Game Control
76%
Ole Miss wins
Strong
🛋 Wofford Coming off BYE
Wofford 2026 Schedule
Wofford's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/12Wofford at Kent State-15.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/21Wofford at Ole Miss+20
Ole Miss 2026 Schedule
Ole Miss's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Ole Miss vs Louisville-8.552.5
Sat 9/12Ole Miss vs Charlotte-34
Sat 9/19Ole Miss vs LSU-4
Sat 9/26Ole Miss at Florida-8
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10Ole Miss at Vanderbilt-8
Sat 10/17Ole Miss vs Missouri-7
Sat 10/24Ole Miss at Texas+11.5
Sat 10/31Ole Miss vs Auburn-11.5
Sat 11/7Ole Miss vs Georgia+6
Sat 11/14Ole Miss at Oklahoma+3.5
Sat 11/21Ole Miss vs Wofford-33
Fri 11/27Ole Miss vs Mississippi State-19
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Wofford Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Wofford
0.00
Ole Miss #7
1.93
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Wofford
0.00
Ole Miss #22
0.50
Wofford +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Ole Miss Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Wofford #139
0.5
Ole Miss #12
64.0
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Wofford #140
97.1
Ole Miss #6
19.0
Ole Miss +63.5
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself