Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
58.3%
Monmouth wins
Lean
Vegas Spread
Charlotte -3
O/U 66.5
DraftKings
Monmouth 2025 Schedule
Monmouth's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/13 | Monmouth at Charlotte | +3.0L35–42 | 66.5 | L35–42 | O | N |
Charlotte 2025 Schedule
Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 8/29 | Charlotte vs App State | +8.5L11–34 | 53.5 | L11–34 | U | N |
| Sat 9/6 | Charlotte vs North Carolina | +16.5L3–20 | 49.5 | L3–20 | U | N |
| Sat 9/13 | Charlotte vs Monmouth | -3.0W42–35 | 66.5 | W42–35 | O | Y |
| Thu 9/18 | Charlotte vs Rice | +1.5L17–28 | 41.5 | L17–28 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Fri 10/3 | Charlotte at South Florida | +28.5L26–54 | 54.5 | L26–54 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/11 | Charlotte at Army | +17.5L7–24 | 45.5 | L7–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/18 | Charlotte vs Temple | +10.0L14–49 | 47.5 | L14–49 | O | N |
| Fri 10/24 | Charlotte vs North Texas | +25.5L20–54 | 60.5 | L20–54 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Charlotte at East Carolina | +29.5L22–48 | 56.5 | L22–48 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/15 | Charlotte vs UTSA | +16.5L7–28 | 57.5 | L7–28 | U | N |
| Sat 11/22 | Charlotte at Georgia | +42.5L3–35 | 53.5 | L3–35 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/29 | Charlotte at Tulane | +31.5L0–27 | 52.5 | L0–27 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Monmouth Edge
Monmouth +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Monmouth Edge
Monmouth +10.6
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.3% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓