Sat, Sep 14 2024
·
Week 3
·
🏟 Memorial Stadium
Lincoln, NE
·
Turf
·
86,047 cap
Northern Iowa✈ 248 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Nebraska wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Nebraska -30.5
O/U 49.5
ESPN Bet
Northern Iowa 2024 Schedule
Northern Iowa's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/14 | Northern Iowa at Nebraska | +30.5L3–34 | 49.5 | L3–34 | U | N |
| Sat 9/21 | Northern Iowa at Hawai'i | +10.0L7–36 | 46.0 | L7–36 | U | N |
Nebraska 2024 Schedule
Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/31 | Nebraska vs UTEP | -27.5W40–7 | 49.0 | W40–7 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/7 | Nebraska vs Colorado | -6.5W28–10 | 55.0 | W28–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/14 | Nebraska vs Northern Iowa | -30.5W34–3 | 49.5 | W34–3 | U | Y |
| Fri 9/20 | Nebraska vs Illinois | -9.5L24–31 | 41.5 | L24–31 | O | N |
| Sat 9/28 | Nebraska at Purdue | -10.0W28–10 | 47.5 | W28–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/5 | Nebraska vs Rutgers | -7.0W14–7 | 39.5 | W14–7 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Nebraska at Indiana | +6.5L7–56 | 48.0 | L7–56 | O | N |
| Sat 10/26 | Nebraska at Ohio State | +25.0L17–21 | 48.5 | L17–21 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/2 | Nebraska vs UCLA | -7.5L20–27 | 38.5 | L20–27 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Nebraska at USC | +6.5L20–28 | 51.0 | L20–28 | U | N |
| Sat 11/23 | Nebraska vs Wisconsin | -1.5W44–25 | 40.5 | W44–25 | O | Y |
| Fri 11/29 | Nebraska at Iowa | +3.5L10–13 | 41.5 | L10–13 | U | Y |
| Sat 12/28 | Nebraska vs Boston College | -3.0W20–15 | 47.5 | W20–15 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Northern Iowa Edge
Northern Iowa +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Nebraska Edge
Nebraska +36.4
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓