Fri, Sep 1 2023
·
Week 1
·
🏟 Rynearson Stadium
Ypsilanti, MI
·
Turf
·
30,200 cap
Howard✈ 416 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Eastern Michigan wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Eastern Michigan -20
O/U 55.5
William Hill (New Jersey)
Howard 2023 Schedule
Howard's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 9/1 | Howard at Eastern Michigan | +20.0L23–33 | 55.5 | L23–33 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/7 | Howard at Northwestern | +23.0L20–23 | 51.0 | L20–23 | U | Y |
Eastern Michigan 2023 Schedule
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 9/1 | Eastern Michigan vs Howard | -20.0W33–23 | 55.5 | W33–23 | O | N |
| Sat 9/9 | Eastern Michigan at Minnesota | +19.5L6–25 | 48.0 | L6–25 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/16 | Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts | -7.0W19–17 | 50.0 | W19–17 | U | N |
| Sat 9/23 | Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State | +6.5L0–21 | 51.0 | L0–21 | U | N |
| Sat 9/30 | Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan | +9.5L23–26 | 45.0 | L23–26 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/7 | Eastern Michigan vs Ball State | -2.5W24–10 | 43.5 | W24–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/14 | Eastern Michigan vs Kent State | -7.0W28–14 | 40.0 | W28–14 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/21 | Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois | +11.5L13–20 | 43.5 | L13–20 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/28 | Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan | +3.0L21–45 | 50.0 | L21–45 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Wed 11/8 | Eastern Michigan at Toledo | +19.5L23–49 | 45.5 | L23–49 | O | N |
| Tue 11/14 | Eastern Michigan vs Akron | -3.5W30–27 | 39.5 | W30–27 | O | N |
| Tue 11/21 | Eastern Michigan at Buffalo | +6.5W24–11 | 38.5 | W24–11 | U | Y |
| Sat 12/23 | Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama | +18.0L10–59 | 43.0 | L10–59 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Howard Edge
Howard +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Eastern Michigan Edge
Eastern Michigan +24.8
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓