Sat, Nov 18 2023
·
Week 12
·
🏟 Kyle Field
College Station, TX
·
Turf
·
102,733 cap
Abilene Christian✈ 236 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Texas A&M
has the edge in this matchup
Both Momentum Control (CSS) and Game Control metrics favor
Texas A&M entering this game.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Texas A&M wins
Lean
Game Control
76%
Texas A&M wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Texas A&M -40.5
O/U 54.5
ESPN Bet
Abilene Christian 2023 Schedule
Abilene Christian's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/30 | Abilene Christian at North Texas | +15.5L31–45 | 70.5 | L31–45 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/18 | Abilene Christian at Texas A&M | +40.5L10–38 | 54.5 | L10–38 | U | Y |
Texas A&M 2023 Schedule
Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/2 | Texas A&M vs New Mexico | -37.5W52–10 | 48.5 | W52–10 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/9 | Texas A&M at Miami | -3.0L33–48 | 50.5 | L33–48 | O | N |
| Sat 9/16 | Texas A&M vs UL Monroe | -36.5W47–3 | 53.5 | W47–3 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/23 | Texas A&M vs Auburn | -9.5W27–10 | 51.0 | W27–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/30 | Texas A&M vs Arkansas | -6.5W34–22 | 53.5 | W34–22 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/7 | Texas A&M vs Alabama | +2.5L20–26 | 45.0 | L20–26 | O | N |
| Sat 10/14 | Texas A&M at Tennessee | +3.0L13–20 | 54.5 | L13–20 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/28 | Texas A&M vs South Carolina | -17.0W30–17 | 51.5 | W30–17 | U | N |
| Sat 11/4 | Texas A&M at Ole Miss | +3.0L35–38 | 52.5 | L35–38 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/11 | Texas A&M vs Mississippi State | -16.5W51–10 | 40.5 | W51–10 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/18 | Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian | -40.5W38–10 | 54.5 | W38–10 | U | N |
| Sat 11/25 | Texas A&M at LSU | +10.5L30–42 | 67.5 | L30–42 | O | N |
| Wed 12/27 | Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State | +4.0L23–31 | 56.0 | L23–31 | U | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Texas A&M Edge
Texas A&M +0.50
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Texas A&M Edge
Texas A&M +38.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓