Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Rutgers wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Rutgers -46
O/U 52.5
Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado)
Wagner 2023 Schedule
Wagner's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/9 | Wagner at Navy | +43.5L0–24 | 49.0 | L0–24 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/30 | Wagner at Rutgers | +46.0L3–52 | 52.5 | L3–52 | O | N |
Rutgers 2023 Schedule
Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9/3 | Rutgers vs Northwestern | -5.0W24–7 | 39.0 | W24–7 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/9 | Rutgers vs Temple | -7.5W36–7 | 43.5 | W36–7 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/16 | Rutgers vs Virginia Tech | -6.5W35–16 | 37.5 | W35–16 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/23 | Rutgers at Michigan | +24.0L7–31 | 44.5 | L7–31 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/30 | Rutgers vs Wagner | -46.0W52–3 | 52.5 | W52–3 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/7 | Rutgers at Wisconsin | +12.5L13–24 | 44.0 | L13–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/14 | Rutgers vs Michigan State | -4.0W27–24 | 38.5 | W27–24 | O | N |
| Sat 10/21 | Rutgers at Indiana | -6.0W31–14 | 39.5 | W31–14 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/4 | Rutgers vs Ohio State | +19.0L16–35 | 42.5 | L16–35 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/11 | Rutgers at Iowa | -2.5L0–22 | 27.5 | L0–22 | U | N |
| Sat 11/18 | Rutgers at Penn State | +19.5L6–27 | 39.5 | L6–27 | U | N |
| Sat 11/25 | Rutgers vs Maryland | +2.0L24–42 | 45.5 | L24–42 | O | N |
| Thu 12/28 | Rutgers vs Miami | -3.0W31–24 | 41.0 | W31–24 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Wagner Edge
Wagner +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Rutgers Edge
Rutgers +26.2
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓