McNeese at Rice Week 2 College Football Matchup McNeese at Rice Matchup - Week 2
Sat, Sep 10 2022 · Week 2 · 🏟 Rice Stadium Houston, TX · Turf · 47,000 cap
McNeese✈ 135 miSame TZ
Away
10 52
Final
Home
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
McNeese
35
Rice
22
P&R Line McNeese -12.5
P&R Total O/U 56.5
Confidence 75 Good
Vegas Rice -7.5 · O/U 52.5
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Lean
Game Control
76%
Rice wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Rice -7.5
O/U 52.5
consensus
McNeese 2022 Schedule
McNeese's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/10McNeese at Rice+7.5L10–5252.5L10–52ON
Rice 2022 Schedule
Rice's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3Rice at USC+33.0L14–6661.5L14–66ON
Sat 9/10Rice vs McNeese-7.5W52–1052.5W52–10OY
Sat 9/17Rice vs Louisiana+11.5W33–2152.0W33–21OY
Sat 9/24Rice at Houston+17.5L27–3452.5L27–34OY
Sat 10/1Rice vs UAB+10.5W28–2451.0W28–24OY
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/15Rice at Florida Atlantic+5.0L14–1754.5L14–17UY
Sat 10/22Rice at Louisiana Tech-3.0W42–4157.0W42–41ON
Sat 10/29Rice vs Charlotte-15.0L23–5661.0L23–56ON
Thu 11/3Rice vs UTEP-3.5W37–3047.0W37–30OY
Sat 11/12Rice at Western Kentucky+13.5L10–4561.0L10–45UN
Sat 11/19Rice vs UTSA+14.0L7–4156.0L7–41UN
Sat 11/26Rice at North Texas+14.5L17–2157.0L17–21UY
Sat 12/17Rice vs Southern Miss+7.0L24–3846.5L24–38ON
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? McNeese Edge
Avg sequences created per game
McNeese
0.00
Rice #119
0.64
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
McNeese
0.00
Rice #114
1.64
McNeese +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Rice Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
McNeese #138
0.3
Rice #112
25.4
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
McNeese #138
98.1
Rice #110
63.2
Rice +25.1
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself