Fri, Sep 2 2022
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Week 1
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🏟 Jerry Richardson Stadium
Charlotte, NC
·
Turf
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15,314 cap
William & Mary✈ 262 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Charlotte wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Charlotte -4.5
O/U 52.0
consensus
William & Mary 2022 Schedule
William & Mary's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 9/2 | William & Mary at Charlotte | +4.5W41–24 | 52.0 | W41–24 | O | Y |
Charlotte 2022 Schedule
Charlotte's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/27 | Charlotte at Florida Atlantic | +7.0L13–43 | 60.0 | L13–43 | U | N |
| Fri 9/2 | Charlotte vs William & Mary | -4.5L24–41 | 52.0 | L24–41 | O | N |
| Sat 9/10 | Charlotte vs Maryland | +28.0L21–56 | 65.0 | L21–56 | O | N |
| Sat 9/17 | Charlotte at Georgia State | +19.5W42–41 | 64.0 | W42–41 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/24 | Charlotte at South Carolina | +23.5L20–56 | 66.5 | L20–56 | O | N |
| Sat 10/1 | Charlotte vs UTEP | +3.5L35–41 | 56.0 | L35–41 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/15 | Charlotte at UAB | +21.5L20–34 | 65.0 | L20–34 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/22 | Charlotte vs Florida International | -14.0L15–34 | 63.5 | L15–34 | U | N |
| Sat 10/29 | Charlotte at Rice | +15.0W56–23 | 61.0 | W56–23 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/5 | Charlotte vs Western Kentucky | +14.5L7–59 | 72.5 | L7–59 | U | N |
| Sat 11/12 | Charlotte at Middle Tennessee | +10.0L14–24 | 67.0 | L14–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/19 | Charlotte vs Louisiana Tech | +2.0W26–21 | 66.5 | W26–21 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
William & Mary Edge
William & Mary +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Charlotte Edge
Charlotte +28.8
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓