Sat, Sep 10 2022
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Week 2
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🏟 Huntington Bank Stadium
Minneapolis, MN
·
Turf
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50,805 cap
Western Illinois✈ 337 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Minnesota wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Minnesota -41
O/U 56.5
consensus
Western Illinois 2022 Schedule
Western Illinois's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/10 | Western Illinois at Minnesota | +41.0L10–62 | 56.5 | L10–62 | O | N |
Minnesota 2022 Schedule
Minnesota's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9/1 | Minnesota vs New Mexico State | -36.0W38–0 | 52.5 | W38–0 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/10 | Minnesota vs Western Illinois | -41.0W62–10 | 56.5 | W62–10 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/17 | Minnesota vs Colorado | -28.0W49–7 | 47.5 | W49–7 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/24 | Minnesota at Michigan State | -3.0W34–7 | 50.0 | W34–7 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/1 | Minnesota vs Purdue | -9.0L10–20 | 53.0 | L10–20 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/15 | Minnesota at Illinois | -4.5L14–26 | 40.0 | L14–26 | U | N |
| Sat 10/22 | Minnesota at Penn State | +5.5L17–45 | 43.0 | L17–45 | O | N |
| Sat 10/29 | Minnesota vs Rutgers | -14.0W31–0 | 40.5 | W31–0 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/5 | Minnesota at Nebraska | -14.5W20–13 | 44.5 | W20–13 | U | N |
| Sat 11/12 | Minnesota vs Northwestern | -17.0W31–3 | 40.5 | W31–3 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/19 | Minnesota vs Iowa | -2.0L10–13 | 31.5 | L10–13 | U | N |
| Sat 11/26 | Minnesota at Wisconsin | +3.0W23–16 | 37.0 | W23–16 | O | Y |
| Thu 12/29 | Minnesota vs Syracuse | -10.5W28–20 | 45.0 | W28–20 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Western Illinois Edge
Western Illinois +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Minnesota Edge
Minnesota +57.3
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓