Akron at Miami (OH) - 2026 Matchup Preview
Akron logo

Akron Zips at Miami (OH) RedHawks

Miami (OH) logo
Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Yager Stadium - Oxford, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Zips (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (13 - 35)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#89)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
M-OH is playing their 7th straight game
AKR is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -14  (SP+ M-OH -11)

Projected Score: AKR: 19 - M-OH: 33 (51)
M-OH Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
AKR Travel: 201 miles
RedHawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (72 - 74)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#20)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Akron's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3Akron at Wake Forest+20.5
Sat 9/12Akron vs Robert Morris-10.5
Sat 9/19Akron at Minnesota+19.5
Sat 9/26Akron vs UNLV+13.5
Sat 10/3Akron at Central Michigan+8.5
Sat 10/10Akron vs Eastern Michigan-1
Sat 10/17Akron at Miami (OH)+14
Sat 10/24Akron at Kent State-2.5
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/3Akron vs Ohio+3.5
Tue 11/10Akron vs Western Michigan+7
Wed 11/18Akron at Massachusetts-16.5
Fri 11/27Akron vs Buffalo+1.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh+12.5
Sat 9/12Miami (OH) vs Holy Cross-22
Sat 9/19Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+5.5
Sat 9/26Miami (OH) vs UConn-0
Sat 10/3Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-12.5
Sat 10/10Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-28
Sat 10/17Miami (OH) vs Akron-14
Sat 10/24Miami (OH) at Central Michigan-3
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/3Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-10.5
Tue 11/10Miami (OH) vs Ohio-8.5
Tue 11/17Miami (OH) at Kent State-14
Tue 11/24Miami (OH) at Western Michigan+0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#117 (.07)38% (113)22.340% (98)2.8 (98)13637% (113)2193.25 (112)#46 (.11)39% (38)27.441% (60)38% (31)3.68 (70)45.81.41.7
M-OH#107 (.1)39% (106)23.543% (82)3.14 (33)15136% (119)1873.34 (107)#29 (.08)39% (36)21.739% (35)40% (52)3.39 (45)49.11.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense1222.31738.4%3.251.4203551362193.845%52%40%37%18%.07
M-OH Defense1421.722.739.1%3.391.4 - - - - - 49%49%39%40%18%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense1227.436.339.2%3.681.7 - - - - - 51%48%41%38%17%.11
M-OH Offense1423.532.339.2%3.341.1183381511874.352%47%43%36%13%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron1229:5220.131%48%5.845.81.41.75.82.1129.4
Miami (OH)1429:4817.635%42%5.649.11.11.45.82.9331.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense1245% (102)40% (98)35.8136.43.89 (132) (123)2.8 (98)72% (70)10% (98)0.82 (123)
M-OH Defense1449% (58)39% (35) - - - - .05 (40)2.71 (34)73% (87)11% (34)0.92 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense1251% (76)41% (60) - - - - .03 (27)2.75 (45)58% (7)11% (28)0.92 (49)
M-OH Offense1452% (48)43% (82)35.1150.84.317 (78).07 (93)3.14 (33)66% (105)7% (14)0.87 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense1252% (40)37% (113)17.433.72196.512.620 (50)9 (88).18 (107)1.6 (34)35% (124)28% (97).19 (115)8% (123)2.1 (58)
M-OH Defense1449% (79)40% (52) - - - - - - 14 (12).19 (43)1.5 (27)34% (30)28% (43).22 (40)7% (22)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense1248% (70)38% (31) - - - - - - 12 (38).23 (60)1.7 (121)30% (93)25% (15).22 (36)6% (52)2.2 (118)
M-OH Offense1447% (88)36% (119)13.126.3187.37.114.317 (86)11 (88).18 (106)1.7 (27)32% (84)28% (91).21 (103)6% (81)1.9 (104)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -12.10  #119
Akron's Offense Rating: 9.78  #112
Akron's Defense Rating: 21.88  #122
2026 Talent Rating: 365.00  #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 125%  #81
Akron's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Akron's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9  #118
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2  #123
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 468.77
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -12.10   Miami (OH): 1.135

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.9   Miami (OH): -3.4




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 1.135  #67
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 14.71  #79
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 14.04  #58
2026 Talent Rating: 647.00  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 250  #67
Miami (OH)'s 2026 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Miami (OH)'s 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4  #84
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #114
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 468.77
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7


Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Akron's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 33
Akron 19


Projected Total Points: 51
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Akron7Miami (OH)20Miami (OH) -11.5Miami (OH)47.5Under
202311/08Miami (OH)19Akron0Miami (OH) -17.5Miami (OH)37.5Under
202210/29Akron9Miami (OH)27Miami (OH) -9Miami (OH)51.5Under
202110/16Miami (OH)34Akron21Miami (OH) -20.0Akron51.0Over
202011/28Akron7Miami (OH)38Miami (OH) -14Miami (OH)55.0Under
201911/20Miami (OH)20Akron17Miami (OH) -30.5Akron44.5Under
201810/06Akron17Miami (OH)41Akron -5Miami (OH)47.5Over
201711/07Miami (OH)24Akron14Miami (OH) -11.5Akron51.0Under
201610/08Akron35Miami (OH)13Akron -7.5Akron54.0Under
201511/14Miami (OH)28Akron37Akron -6Akron43.0Over
201410/11Akron29Miami (OH)19Akron -13.5Miami (OH)0
201310/19Miami (OH)17Akron24Akron -6Akron0
201209/29Akron49Miami (OH)56
201111/03Miami (OH)35Akron3
201011/17Akron14Miami (OH)19
200711/14Miami (OH)7Akron0
200610/21Akron24Miami (OH)13
200510/15Miami (OH)51Akron23
200411/20Akron27Miami (OH)37
200310/04Miami (OH)45Akron20
200209/28Akron31Miami (OH)48
200110/13Miami (OH)30Akron27
200009/29Akron37Miami (OH)20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1763 Overs
Akron667 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 102 - 102 - 50 - 5
Road Teams10 - 1310 - 25 - 05 - 2

(#119) AKR at (#67) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAKRM-OH
Game ControlGC #106 #83
Momentum ControlMC #128 #70
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #119 #67
SP+SP+ #118 #84
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #127 #71
Blue ChipsBC% #81 #67
Akron Notes
(3/4) Vibes: Hopeful, this team could bowl, better Off
(3/4) Moorehead wins from 2 in '23, 4 in '24, 5 last year
(3/4) QB Poffenbarger (UNT) was good FCS @ Albany
(3/4) RB Jordan Gant best in MAC? 1K LY, have depth
(3/4) WR trio of Williams, Mason + Burris (Char) good
(3/4) OL has 3 decent starters, 3 portals, 3 exp'd depth
(3/4) DT added 2 big, exp'd FCS, DE Durham is good
(3/4) DBs have lots of exp but sub prod. Could be worse
Akron Injury Report
Akron on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
AKR OffM-OH Def
Game ControlGC #121 #73
Momentum ControlMC #128 #78
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #113 #36
ExplosiveExp #61 #33
PPAPPA #117 #29
PowerPwr #112 #58
SP+SP+ #123 #54
Pts POPPO #112 #45
HavocHav #113 #25
Akron Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
AKR OffM-OH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #98 #35
Run ExplRExp #123 #48
PPAExp #123 #40
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #98 #34
Stuff RateStuff #103 #45
TackleTak - NR
Akron Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
AKR OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #113 #52
Pass ExplPExl #34 #27
PPAExp #107 #43
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #98 #34
DB HavocDB #123 #22
Miami (OH) on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatM-OH OffAKR Def
Game ControlGC #92 #92
Momentum ControlMC #58 #125
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #106 #38
ExplosiveExp #83 #90
PPAPPA #107 #46
PowerPwr #79 #122
SP+SP+ #114 #87
Pts POPPO #107 #70
HavocHav #34 #33
Miami (OH) Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffAKR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #60
Run ExplRExp #113 #49
PPAExp #93 #27
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #33 #45
Stuff RateStuff #47 #20
TackleTak - NR
Miami (OH) Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatM-OH OffAKR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #119 #31
Pass ExplPExl #27 #121
PPAExp #106 #60
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #14 #28
DB HavocDB #81 #52
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Down to Average G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Akron last year (20-7)
Miami (OH) beat Akron in 2023 (19-0)

  
AKR's OC Joe Moorhead (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Roggow111765%91005.4
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)5771%36005.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Gant213103264.836
Sean Patrick6927414.025
Marquese Williams218604.114
Taven Curry95406.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcel Williams45641214.246
Kyan Mason33481514.662
Connor Cravaack1814728.227
Sean Patrick11136012.422

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mehki Flowers421001
Alex Branch333022
Cyrus Durham329470
Rodrick Hunter282102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cyrus Durham329470
Ronald Hull203320
Rodrick Hunter282102
Jamari Somerville152101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terence Thomas180002
Rodrick Hunter282102
Alex Branch333022

M-OH's OC Gus Ragland (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Gotkowski388644%575416.7
Lynel Billups-Williams010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Nelson (Tr)2941805186.175
D'Shawntae Jones6327774.446
Keith Reynolds2718606.932
Cade Yacamelli (Tr)3812803.412
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Maleek Huggins56808714.485
Keith Reynolds3635219.869
Rodney Nelson (Tr)3022917.649
Christian Ross1817419.737

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Young898323
Blayne Myrick (Tr)846033
Malcolm Mccain667220
Mychal Yharbrough442004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bai Jobe154440
CJ Young898323
James Schott143321
Malcolm Mccain667220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Martin310007
Mychal Yharbrough442004
CJ Young898323