Massachusetts at Bowling Green - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Massachusetts Minutemen at Bowling Green Falcons

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Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Doyt Perry Stadium - Bowling Green, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Minutemen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 12)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1.3 - 10.7 (#117)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
UMASS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -20.5  (SP+ BGSU -18)

Projected Score: UMASS: 13 - BGSU: 33 (46)
BGSU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
UMASS Travel: 574 miles
Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#81)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
 
Massachusetts's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3Massachusetts at Rutgers+29.5
Sat 9/12Massachusetts vs Sacred Heart+6
Sat 9/19Massachusetts vs Stonehill+6
Sat 9/26Massachusetts at Sacramento State+14.5
Sat 10/3Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan+15
Sat 10/10Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)+25.5
Sat 10/17Massachusetts at Buffalo+20.5
Sat 10/24Massachusetts at UConn+24.5
— Bye Week —
Wed 11/4Massachusetts vs Ball State+3.5
Wed 11/11Massachusetts at Toledo+26
Wed 11/18Massachusetts vs Akron+11.5
Sat 11/28Massachusetts at Bowling Green+20.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Bowling Green vs Tarleton State-12
Sat 9/12Bowling Green at Nebraska+20
Sat 9/19Bowling Green at Iowa State+16
Sat 9/26Bowling Green vs South Florida+8.5
Sat 10/3Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+13
Sat 10/10Bowling Green vs Sacramento State-8
Sat 10/17Bowling Green vs Ball State-14.5
Sat 10/24Bowling Green at Buffalo+2.5
Sat 10/31Bowling Green at Western Michigan+7.5
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/10Bowling Green vs Kent State-9.5
Wed 11/18Bowling Green at Toledo+8
Sat 11/28Bowling Green vs Massachusetts-20.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#135 (-.01)34% (134)11.133% (136)2.05 (136)8234% (129)1652.17 (136)#133 (.28)48% (130)38.649% (129)48% (129)4.64 (134)41.41.30.8
BGSU#128 (.02)36% (128)20.537% (125)2.88 (78)15635% (124)1513.19 (118)#61 (.15)41% (56)24.339% (40)42% (68)3.44 (48)611.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1211.19.333.7%2.171.316248821652.845%54%33%34%20%-.01
BGSU Defense1224.319.540.6%3.441.3 - - - - - 53%46%39%42%19%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1238.642.548%4.640.8 - - - - - 55%43%49%48%9%.28
BGSU Offense1220.51735.6%3.191.217307156151458%40%37%35%16%.02

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1226:5615.531%23%5.241.41.30.83.31.1125.9
Bowling Green1231:1816.637%42%6.7611.21.36.21.8131
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1245% (108)33% (136)29.382.42.86 (122)-.03 (129)2.05 (136)60% (127)13% (127)1.12 (12)
BGSU Defense1253% (105)39% (40) - - - - .06 (48)2.74 (40)59% (9)13% (8)1.06 (116)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1255% (126)49% (129) - - - - .2 (121)3.53 (136)77% (106)6% (136)0.84 (14)
BGSU Offense1258% (15)37% (125)39.3155.5413 (119).03 (112)2.88 (78)58% (133)10% (95)0.95 (76)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1254% (26)34% (129)18.634.6165.14.88.98 (134)9 (88).02 (132)1.3 (135)38% (135)25% (119).14 (126)7% (110)2 (70)
BGSU Defense1246% (34)42% (68) - - - - - - 6 (75).28 (82)1.6 (95)33% (49)31% (86).32 (79)7% (43)2.1 (85)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1243% (12)48% (129) - - - - - - 4 (75).41 (128)1.6 (103)26% (134)33% (105).42 (120)3% (136)2 (76)
BGSU Offense1240% (122)35% (124)13.823.8151.36.410.913 (106)12 (119).07 (129)1.6 (47)34% (110)25% (121).19 (114)6% (65)2.1 (50)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -27.79  #138
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 1.10  #138
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 29.13  #138
2026 Talent Rating: 354.00  #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #69
Massachusetts's 2026 Expected Record: 1.3 - 10.7
Massachusetts's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -30.9  #137
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 9.6  #138
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.1  #136

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 467.85
Average Power Five Talent: 872.28
Average FBS Talent: 677.28

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -27.79   Bowling Green: -9.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -30.9   Bowling Green: -13.3




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -9.015  #113
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 10.94  #108
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 20.67  #116
2026 Talent Rating: 487.00  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #104
Bowling Green's 2026 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Bowling Green's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3  #115
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.8  #128
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #86

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 467.85
Average Power Five Talent: 872.28
Average FBS Talent: 677.28


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 33
Massachusetts 13


Projected Total Points: 46
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/25Massachusetts14Bowling Green45Bowling Green -14Bowling Green44.5Over
201510/10Bowling Green62Massachusetts38Bowling Green -13.5Bowling Green78.5Over
201409/27Massachusetts42Bowling Green47Bowling Green -12Massachusetts0
201310/05Bowling Green28Massachusetts7Bowling Green -23Massachusetts0
201210/20Massachusetts0Bowling Green24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green522 Overs
Massachusetts020 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 32 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams3 - 22 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#138) UMASS at (#113) BGSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSBGSU
Game ControlGC #136 #113
Momentum ControlMC #124 #83
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #138 #113
SP+SP+ #137 #115
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #130 #102
Blue ChipsBC% #69 #104
Massachusetts Notes
(2/27) Vibes: Why bother. School deserves better
(2/27) 8 wins in 7 years (8-68), should not be FBS
(2/27) QB Watson (VT) vs Johnson (FAMU)... meh
(2/27) RB a stable of longshots with 2 portal adds
(2/27) WR could have upside w King (FCS), Matthews
(2/27) OL 6 w starting exp, 2 from FCS. Better than exp
(2/27) DL severely lacks size, talent. Have bros from IU?
(2/27) LB best unit on team, by far. 3 good starters
(2/27) DBs will be bad, likely really bad.
Massachusetts Injury Report
Bowling Green Notes
(3/4) Vibes: Hopeful, George popular, can bowl TY
(3/4) QB Novosad a huge get, big talent for MAC QB
(3/4) RB duo of Dendy & Baldwin (FCS) looks decent
(3/4) WR really need FCS portals or depth to hit
(3/4) OL looks rough, only 2 with PT exp. Some depth
(3/4) DL has some exp, has size. DE's can rush some
(3/4) DBs look strong, even better if FCS portals hit
Bowling Green Injury Report
Massachusetts on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBGSU Def
Game ControlGC #136 #111
Momentum ControlMC #135 #72
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #134 #56
ExplosiveExp #78 #105
PPAPPA #135 #61
PowerPwr #138 #116
SP+SP+ #138 #86
Pts POPPO #136 #48
HavocHav #131 #12
Massachusetts Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #136 #40
Run ExplRExp #12 #116
PPAExp #129 #48
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #136 #40
Stuff RateStuff #136 #8
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #129 #68
Pass ExplPExl #135 #95
PPAExp #132 #82
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #127 #8
DB HavocDB #110 #43
Bowling Green on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCatBGSU OffUMASS Def
Game ControlGC #120 #136
Momentum ControlMC #114 #117
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #128 #130
ExplosiveExp #82 #24
PPAPPA #128 #133
PowerPwr #108 #138
SP+SP+ #128 #136
Pts POPPO #118 #134
HavocHav #80 #136
Bowling Green Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #125 #129
Run ExplRExp #76 #14
PPAExp #112 #121
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #78 #136
Stuff RateStuff #66 #136
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCatBGSU OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #124 #129
Pass ExplPExl #47 #103
PPAExp #129 #128
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #95 #136
DB HavocDB #65 #136
Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Massachusetts last year (45-14)

  
UMASS's OC Max Warner (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
RJ Johnson III (Tr)17626566%21861648.2
William Watson III (Tr)2450%770019.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Washington (Tr)8634034.024
Justin Williams-Thomas (Tr)3519725.637
RJ Johnson III (Tr)5713932.426
Elijah Faulkner4011402.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Randall King (Tr)59689511.777
Devin Matthews (Tr)36649718.059
Jordan Washington (Tr)2220219.260
Max Dowling20199310.077

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Jared Keyte (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martin973002
Zeraun Daniel753002
Timmy Hinspeter694222
Kendall Bournes582000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Timmy Hinspeter694222
William Depaepe (Tr)21100
Tyler Martin973002
Kezion Dia-Johnson30000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahmad Harmon (Tr)242005
Tyler Martin973002
Timmy Hinspeter694222

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Najm336650%473547.2
Austin Novosad (Tr)1250%400020.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ke'Marion Baldwin (Tr)15977864.989
Austyn Dendy10849354.624
Isaiah Dawson (Tr)11136112.442
Nakai Amachree72203.111
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Dawson (Tr)42575413.767
Nicholas Sowell21247111.826
Brennan Ridley4110127.587
Austyn Dendy464116.027

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Brandon Fisher (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kal-El Pascal804005
Armahn Hale (Tr)444001
Preston EstoEsta291001
Dorian Pringle276100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Bradley206570
Eriq George265420
Andrew Hines III224110
Dorian Pringle276100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Johnson2200013
Kal-El Pascal804005
Nick Sawyer (Tr)30002