Robert Morris at Buffalo - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Robert Morris Colonials at Buffalo Bulls

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Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
UB Stadium - Amherst, NY

 
Colonials (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 45 (3 - 45 on Road)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
RMU coming off BYE
BUFF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ BUFF -8)
RMU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#65)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Robert Morris's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/12Robert Morris at Akron-10.5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/26Robert Morris at Buffalo-6.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Robert Morris's Schedule
Buffalo's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3Buffalo vs UAlbany-14.5————
Sat 9/12Buffalo at Florida International+4.5————
Sat 9/19Buffalo at Penn State+25————
Sat 9/26Buffalo vs Robert Morris-14.5————
Sat 10/3Buffalo vs Western Michigan+3.5————
Sat 10/10Buffalo at Toledo+15.5————
Sat 10/17Buffalo vs Massachusetts-25.5————
Sat 10/24Buffalo vs Bowling Green-4.5————
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/3Buffalo at Miami (OH)+10.5————
Wed 11/11Buffalo at Ball State-10.5————
Wed 11/18Buffalo vs Central Michigan-0————
Fri 11/27Buffalo at Akron-1.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RMU0%30%000%000%450%0%0000
BUFF#116 (.07)39% (109)2439% (108)2.68 (115)13339% (104)2293.5 (91)#49 (.12)39% (35)23.539% (27)40% (47)3.07 (21)45.71.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RMU Offense1330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
BUFF Defense1223.524.139.1%3.071.3 - - - - - 55%43%39%40%15%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RMU Defense145450%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
BUFF Offense122424.638.8%3.51.8193621332293.945%53%39%39%16%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Robert Morris10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Buffalo1228:0319.436%40%5.445.71.81.36.12.8129.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RMU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
BUFF Defense1255% (124)39% (27) - - - - .05 (38)2.96 (79)66% (30)10% (52)0.89 (34)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RMU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
BUFF Offense1245% (105)39% (108)34.4133.23.915 (70)-.03 (128)2.68 (115)69% (93)9% (65)0.88 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RMU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
BUFF Defense1243% (11)40% (47) - - - - - - 7 (123).23 (61)1.6 (98)32% (51)28% (36).17 (18)5% (95)1.7 (4)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RMU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
BUFF Offense1253% (31)39% (104)19.634.32296.711.719 (75)14 (34).19 (103)1.5 (101)34% (112)27% (108).28 (76)7% (104)2 (76)

Robert Morris's Power Ratings
Robert Morris's Power Rating: NR
Robert Morris's Offense Rating: NR
Robert Morris's Defense Rating: NR
2026 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Robert Morris's 2026 Expected Record: -
Robert Morris's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Robert Morris's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Robert Morris's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big South Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61

Power Ratings Matchup
Robert Morris:    Buffalo: -6.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Robert Morris:    Buffalo: -7.5




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -6.64  #117
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 7.55  #124
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 18.34  #104
2026 Talent Rating: 495.00  #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #104
Buffalo's 2026 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Buffalo's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5  #97
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2  #118
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #70

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 467.85
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61


Robert Morris Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Robert Morris's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 35
Robert Morris 13

Projected Total Points: 48
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201908/29Buffalo38Robert Morris10Buffalo -41.5Robert Morris63.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo100 Overs
Robert Morris011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) RMU at (#117) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatRMUBUFF
Game ControlGC #140 #101
Momentum ControlMCNR #55
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #117
SP+SP+NR #97
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNR #100
Blue ChipsBC%NR #104
Buffalo Notes
(3/4) Vibes: Lembo won 9 in '24, but regressed LY
(3/4) QB Holmes (D II) 3K yds, 24 TD, 240 rushing
(3/4) RB Shelton (#2 LY) some exp, Enlow (Fr) ready?
(3/4) WR Gathings (#2 LY) good, some exp, big guys
(3/4) OL is ?, 2 starters, 1 PT and 4 portal adds
(3/4) F7 lost most from good Def LY, only 6 portals
(3/4) DL is light on exp, size, talent. LB a little better
(3/4) CB looks really strong, Greer a good S. Good unit
Buffalo Injury Report
Robert Morris on Offense
CategoryCat
RMU OffBUFF Def
Game ControlGC #139 #91
Momentum ControlMCNR #23
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #35
ExplosiveExpNR #56
PPAPPANR #49
PowerPwrNR #104
SP+SP+NR #70
Pts POPPONR #21
HavocHavNR #75
Robert Morris Run Game
CategoryCat
RMU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #27
Run ExplRExpNR #34
PPAExpNR #38
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #79
Stuff RateStuffNR #94
TackleTak - NR
Robert Morris Pass Game
CategoryCat
RMU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #47
Pass ExplPExlNR #98
PPAExpNR #61
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #52
DB HavocDBNR #95
Buffalo on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatBUFF OffRMU Def
Game ControlGC #106 #140
Momentum ControlMC #98NR
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #109NR
ExplosiveExp #104NR
PPAPPA #116NR
PowerPwr #124NR
SP+SP+ #118NR
Pts POPPO #91NR
HavocHav #87NR
Buffalo Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
BUFF OffRMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #108NR
Run ExplRExp #108NR
PPAExp #128NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #115NR
Stuff RateStuff #68NR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatBUFF OffRMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #104NR
Pass ExplPExl #101NR
PPAExp #103NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #65NR
DB HavocDB #104NR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

RMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
RMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Donta Whack6926223.820
Owen McGraw7113016.174
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Evans440010.017
Donta Whack3802.77

View Robert Morris's Full Roster

RMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Evans20000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Evans20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Evans20000

BUFF's OC Tony Tokarz (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terrance Shelton Jr.5724414.320
James McNeil Jr.126725.626
Jason Wright144503.29
Messiah Burch114103.714
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jasaiah Gathings36410311.439
Trevor Wilson (Tr)2219318.830
Chance Morrow8129216.126
Patrick Clacks III127125.911

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Joe Bowen (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Miles Greer743313
Saveon Brown527224
Keontez Bradley280004
Kobi Blackwell200007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Miles Greer743313
Saveon Brown527224
Cornell Evans142111
Messiah Burch10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobi Blackwell200007
Keontez Bradley280004
Saveon Brown527224