Florida Atlantic at East Carolina - 2026 Matchup Preview
Florida Atlantic logo

Florida Atlantic Owls at East Carolina Pirates

East Carolina logo
Friday, November 27th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium - Greenville, NC  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#89)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
ECU is playing their 8th straight game
FAU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: East Carolina -15  (SP+ ECU -17)

Projected Score: FAU: 22 - ECU: 37 (59)
ECU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
FAU Travel: 657 miles
Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (14 - 5)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Florida Atlantic's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Florida Atlantic at Florida+17
Sat 9/12Florida Atlantic vs Navy+7.5
Sat 9/19Florida Atlantic vs Florida International-2
Sat 9/26Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe-9.5
Sat 10/3Florida Atlantic vs Texas Southern-16
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17Florida Atlantic at Army+10
Sat 10/24Florida Atlantic vs Rice-11
Thu 10/29Florida Atlantic at North Texas+16.5
Thu 11/5Florida Atlantic vs UTSA+7.5
Sat 11/14Florida Atlantic at Tulsa+5.5
Sat 11/21Florida Atlantic vs South Florida+12
Fri 11/27Florida Atlantic at East Carolina+15

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
East Carolina's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5East Carolina at Alabama+14
Sat 9/12East Carolina vs App State-17.5
Sat 9/19East Carolina at Old Dominion+1
Sat 9/26East Carolina vs North Carolina Central-28
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10East Carolina vs Rice-23
Thu 10/15East Carolina at UAB-18
Thu 10/22East Carolina at Memphis+3
Sat 10/31East Carolina vs Temple-12
Fri 11/6East Carolina vs South Florida-0.5
Sat 11/14East Carolina at Charlotte-24.5
Sat 11/21East Carolina at Army-2.5
Fri 11/27East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-15

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#43 (.21)42% (80)29.540% (97)2.76 (104)10543% (55)3413.49 (93)#123 (.26)45% (121)36.349% (127)42% (76)4.58 (132)562.40.7
ECU#40 (.21)46% (22)32.745% (55)3.04 (54)17649% (11)2733.76 (63)#33 (.09)38% (27)20.138% (17)39% (45)3.05 (19)61.51.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Offense1229.521.841.7%3.492.4254461053413.636%62%40%43%18%.21
ECU Defense1320.119.838.3%3.051.8 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%19%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Defense1236.337.245.5%4.580.7 - - - - - 54%45%49%42%14%.26
ECU Offense1332.736.246.4%3.761.1234491762734.152%46%45%49%13%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic1228:3224.837%66%6.6562.40.75.41.8230.5
East Carolina1328:1923.347%47%7.261.51.11.87.82.3131.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Offense1236% (135)40% (97)29.5105.23.613 (99).04 (108)2.76 (104)77% (30)10% (91)1.04 (40)
ECU Defense1347% (30)38% (17) - - - - .02 (24)2.51 (11)49% (1)14% (5)1.09 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Defense1254% (111)49% (127) - - - - .25 (133)3.07 (103)86% (133)9% (89)1.09 (122)
ECU Offense1352% (44)45% (55)43176.34.131 (30).09 (77)3.04 (54)69% (94)8% (30)0.83 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Offense1262% (4)43% (55)3248.4340.5710.628 (22)20 (134).33 (42)1.6 (49)34% (111)31% (64).39 (33)8% (125)2.1 (25)
ECU Defense1352% (113)39% (45) - - - - - - 10 (100).17 (36)1.4 (22)36% (11)28% (44).18 (23)6% (81)1.8 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Defense1245% (26)42% (76) - - - - - - 3.31 (96)1.6 (80)29% (114)29% (59).38 (108)5% (110)2.2 (117)
ECU Offense1346% (91)49% (11)21.933.8272.78.112.422 (61)6 (34).37 (32)1.5 (71)26% (7)37% (12).49 (13)5% (33)1.8 (118)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -6.51  #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.47  #104
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 17.98  #101
2026 Talent Rating: 534.00  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 125%  #81
Florida Atlantic's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Florida Atlantic's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7  #100
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #64
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 513
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -6.51   East Carolina: 7.205

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -8.7   East Carolina: 8.0




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 7.205  #60
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 15.77  #66
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 14.35  #61
2026 Talent Rating: 569.00  #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 125  #81
East Carolina's 2026 Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2
East Carolina's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #37
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #33
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #51

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 513
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7


Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 37
Florida Atlantic 22


Projected Total Points: 59
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Florida Atlantic3East Carolina42East Carolina -6.5East Carolina66.5Under
202411/07East Carolina49Florida Atlantic14East Carolina -5.5East Carolina58.5Over
202311/11Florida Atlantic7East Carolina22Florida Atlantic -7.5East Carolina44.5Under
201309/05East Carolina31Florida Atlantic13East Carolina -15East Carolina0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina441 Overs
Florida Atlantic002 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 22 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 22 - 21 - 01 - 2

(#104) FAU at (#60) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFAUECU
Game ControlGC #117 #67
Momentum ControlMC #126 #21
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #104 #60
SP+SP+ #100 #37
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #96 #90
Blue ChipsBC% #81 #81
Florida Atlantic Notes
(2/28) Vibes: Off should be fun, Def must improve
(2/28) QB Veltkamp back, good but way too many TOs
(2/28) RB meh, 2 DII portals, don't see much here
(2/28) WR great, Messer a star, Henry+Garcia good trio
(2/28) OL 5 starters including 3 of 4 portals. Decent
(2/28) Front 7 has a ton of exp, but not great prod
(2/28) DBs also lots of exp but meh. Theme of Def
Florida Atlantic Injury Report
East Carolina Notes
(2/25) Vibes: Good, Harrel a 14-5 start, won 9 LY
(3/26) New DC Hankins was Memphis DC last 2 years
(3/3) QB1 Williams (Miami) a name to watch, big add
(3/3) New OC Davis (N Tex) great, name to watch
(2/25) Sneaky good portal class, #12 in G5
(2/25) RB Allen (Marsh) & Gray (UNT) with depth
(2/25) WR has good looking trio & really good depth
(2/25) OL has 3 starters, need help at OT, 3 portals
(2/25) DL looks workable, solid DT combo, need rush
(2/25) Def back 7 needs work, 8 portals should help
East Carolina Injury Report
Florida Atlantic on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffECU Def
Game ControlGC #117 #39
Momentum ControlMC #101 #36
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #80 #27
ExplosiveExp #7 #84
PPAPPA #43 #33
PowerPwr #104 #61
SP+SP+ #64 #51
Pts POPPO #93 #19
HavocHav #111 #11
Florida Atlantic Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #97 #17
Run ExplRExp #40 #123
PPAExp #108 #24
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #104 #11
Stuff RateStuff #52 #3
TackleTak - NR
Florida Atlantic Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #55 #45
Pass ExplPExl #49 #22
PPAExp #42 #36
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #91 #5
DB HavocDB #125 #81
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatECU OffFAU Def
Game ControlGC #91 #112
Momentum ControlMC #18 #127
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #22 #121
ExplosiveExp #111 #100
PPAPPA #40 #123
PowerPwr #66 #101
SP+SP+ #33 #131
Pts POPPO #63 #132
HavocHav #25 #106
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffFAU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #55 #127
Run ExplRExp #120 #122
PPAExp #77 #133
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #54 #103
Stuff RateStuff #13 #122
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatECU OffFAU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #76
Pass ExplPExl #71 #80
PPAExp #32 #96
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #30 #89
DB HavocDB #33 #110
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Florida Atlantic last year (42-3)
East Carolina beat Florida Atlantic in 2024 (49-14)
East Carolina beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (22-7)

  
FAU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp34551467%365224177.1
Drew Devillier (Tr)102148%123105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaden Shields-Dutton8346065.550
RJ Garcia II (Tr)261030.538
Easton Messer351117.039
Caden Veltkamp814540.618
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer1001029610.355
Dom Henry40575414.490
RJ Garcia II (Tr)27283010.528
Antonio Johnson (Tr)20231511.630

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leon Hart Jr.835201
Khmari Johnson413020
Jayden Sweeney412034
Gavench Marcelin321111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Crable (Tr)288644
Deshaun Batiste234430
Josh Roberts225320
Wilky Denaud295300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Sweeney412034
Damarius McGhee300004
Jay Crable (Tr)288644

ECU's OC Jordan Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mitch Griffis (Tr)263672%357209.9
Emory Williams (Tr)131968%156008.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Allen (Tr)7738545.068
Ashton Gray (Tr)5837756.551
TJ Engleman5930615.223
DeJuan Lacy104414.415
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brock Spalding42554313.255
Ja'Keith Hamilton (Tr)40545513.664
Landon Sides (Tr)34449113.260
Ismael Smith Flores (Tr)19227611.943

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Jordan Hankins (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)724004
DJ Johnson Jr.605120
Ayden Duncanson331001
Preston Carr315220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasiyah Robinson267530
Kendrick DuJour115411
Rion Roseborough166310
Preston Carr315220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)724004
Ashton Levells (Tr)211004
Kevon Merrell275012