Hawai'i at Arizona State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Hawai

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Arizona State Sun Devils

Arizona State logo
Saturday, October 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ

 
Rainbow Warriors (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (22 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (26 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#28)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
ASU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Arizona State -8.5  (SP+ ASU -2)

Projected Score: HAW: 22 - ASU: 31 (53)
ASU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
HAW Travel: 2913 miles, 3 hrs behind
Sun Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#60)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
 
Hawai'i's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29Hawai'i at Stanford-5.5
Sat 9/5Hawai'i vs UNLV+1
Sat 9/12Hawai'i vs New Mexico State-17.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/26Hawai'i at Wyoming-8.5
Sat 10/3Hawai'i vs San José State-19
Sat 10/10Hawai'i at Arizona State+8.5
Sat 10/17Hawai'i vs New Mexico-1.5
Sat 10/24Hawai'i at Northern Illinois-14.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/7Hawai'i at UTEP-14
Sat 11/14Hawai'i vs North Dakota State-2
Sat 11/21Hawai'i at Nevada-15
Sat 11/28Hawai'i vs Sacramento State-7

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Arizona State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Arizona State vs Morgan State-28.5
Sat 9/12Arizona State at Texas A&M+14.5
Sat 9/19Arizona State vs Kansas-6
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/3Arizona State vs Baylor-5.5
Sat 10/10Arizona State vs Hawai'i-8.5
Sat 10/17Arizona State at Texas Tech+24.5
Sat 10/24Arizona State vs Kansas State-1.5
Sat 10/31Arizona State at BYU+10
Sat 11/7Arizona State vs Colorado-12
Sat 11/14Arizona State at UCF-1.5
Sat 11/21Arizona State vs Oklahoma State-3
Sat 11/28Arizona State at Arizona+7.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW#62 (.18)41% (88)2938% (118)2.8 (96)10544% (49)2913.77 (61)#74 (.17)42% (70)24.143% (74)41% (60)3.35 (39)65.81.31.2
ASU#91 (.14)40% (99)25.843% (75)2.86 (82)19339% (101)2243.37 (103)#35 (.1)41% (58)24.542% (63)40% (51)3.46 (51)57.81.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Offense132925.841.2%3.771.3203951052913.737%62%38%44%12%.18
ASU Defense1324.521.440.8%3.461.2 - - - - - 45%54%42%40%19%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Defense1324.135.441.7%3.351.2 - - - - - 46%52%43%41%16%.17
ASU Offense1325.824.740.2%3.371.6214171932245.151%47%43%39%17%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Hawai'i1331:5720.545%60%7.765.81.31.24.82.2329.9
Arizona State1331:3321.133%58%7.257.81.61.26.62.6027.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Offense1337% (133)38% (118)28.1104.73.78 (122).02 (118)2.8 (96)59% (131)7% (11)0.91 (91)
ASU Defense1345% (16)42% (63) - - - - .03 (28)2.72 (36)71% (63)11% (40)0.92 (47)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Defense1346% (22)43% (74) - - - - .1 (67)3.21 (120)81% (123)9% (77)0.97 (77)
ASU Offense1351% (54)43% (75)38192.95.118 (78).11 (72)2.86 (82)63% (118)10% (87)0.97 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Offense1362% (3)44% (49)26.941.5290.6710.830 (14)12 (127).31 (47)1.6 (61)34% (113)33% (29).37 (41)5% (39)2.2 (18)
ASU Defense1354% (123)40% (51) - - - - - - 8 (55).17 (32)1.5 (39)32% (58)28% (56).2 (28)8% (11)2.1 (98)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Defense1352% (112)41% (60) - - - - - - 8 (55).26 (75)1.6 (79)34% (31)31% (87).43 (125)7% (43)2.2 (121)
ASU Offense1347% (89)39% (101)19.333.1223.76.811.620 (86)9 (20).25 (68)1.6 (46)32% (79)28% (88).26 (86)7% (105)1.9 (99)

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -2.18  #85
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 15.80  #65
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 17.97  #100
2026 Talent Rating: 439.00  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #104
Hawai'i's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Hawai'i's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7  #71
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #66
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #69

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 426.9
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -2.18   Arizona State: 8.12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: 1.7   Arizona State: 3.9




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 8.12  #30
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 21.26  #21
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 13.93  #57
2026 Talent Rating: 828.00  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 999  #1
Arizona State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Arizona State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9  #62
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #44

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 766.38
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61


Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Hawai'i's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 31
Hawai'i 22


Projected Total Points: 53
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200612/24Hawai'i41Arizona State24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State000 Overs
Hawai'i100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#85) HAW at (#30) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHAWASU
Game ControlGC #49 #62
Momentum ControlMC #38 #45
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #85 #30
SP+SP+ #71 #62
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #118 #39
Blue ChipsBC% #104 #1
Hawai'i Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Chang great job LY 9-4 but road rec 4-18
(3/3) QB Alejado is back, great Fr season, a top G6 QB
(3/3) RB Barfield (#2 LY) back, depth is ? right now
(3/3) WR lost a lot, Ashlock big/good, Uiliata good as Fr
(3/3) OL a big ? 2/3 starters back, have depth though
(3/3) Def was OK LY but lost a lot, not much portal help
(3/3) DL added 4, maybe FCS guys hit? 4 have exp
(3/3) DBs strength of Def, Palmer good CB, 2 good S
Hawai'i Injury Report
Arizona State Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Good, Staff back, Off could be real fun
(3/17) WR 3 big adds w Harris + Miller, looks lethal
(3/17) OL is ? IOL has some exp, meh prod. OTs ?
(3/17) DL is an issue, DT's are ⬇ DE's exp but meh
(3/17) Portal haul great on Off, Def much needed exp
(2/4) Staff continuity w OC/DC combo for 3 years
(2/4) QB Boley (UK) was OK as Fr. Talented depth
(2/4) RBs portals Gillis & Avit, or K Brown? Options
(2/4) LB 2 portal adds, there's exp here but avg perf
(2/4) CBs have big ?, S more proven w exp'd portal adds
Arizona State Injury Report
Hawai'i on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
HAW OffASU Def
Game ControlGC #50 #71
Momentum ControlMC #24 #58
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #88 #58
ExplosiveExp #27 #53
PPAPPA #62 #35
PowerPwr #65 #57
SP+SP+ #66 #44
Pts POPPO #61 #51
HavocHav #15 #15
Hawai'i Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
HAW OffASU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #118 #63
Run ExplRExp #91 #47
PPAExp #118 #28
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #96 #36
Stuff RateStuff #99 #34
TackleTak - NR
Hawai'i Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
HAW OffASU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #49 #51
Pass ExplPExl #61 #39
PPAExp #47 #32
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #40
DB HavocDB #39 #11
Arizona State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatASU OffHAW Def
Game ControlGC #60 #50
Momentum ControlMC #32 #56
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #99 #70
ExplosiveExp #60 #87
PPAPPA #91 #74
PowerPwr #21 #100
SP+SP+ #59 #69
Pts POPPO #103 #39
HavocHav #99 #61
Arizona State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffHAW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #75 #74
Run ExplRExp #63 #77
PPAExp #72 #67
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #82 #120
Stuff RateStuff #88 #116
TackleTak - NR
Arizona State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatASU OffHAW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #101 #60
Pass ExplPExl #46 #79
PPAExp #68 #75
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #87 #77
DB HavocDB #105 #43
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
HAW's OC Anthony Arceneaux (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Micah Alejado28543066%31062497.2
Tama Uiliata1250%340017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Barfield8037144.641
Micah Alejado8110511.330
Devon Rice (Tr)269433.613
Tama Uiliata2804.06
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Pofele Ashlock76827810.947
Cam Barfield2725739.559
Tama Uiliata2823108.330
Devon Tauaefa1410707.634

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Dennis Thurman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamih Otis543040
Elijah Palmer5170010
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina378430
Wynden Ho'Ohuli242011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina378430
Luther McCoy183240
Noah Wily11100
Jamih Otis543040
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Palmer5170010
Matagi Thompson160003
Caleb Brown (Tr)20001

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cutter Boley (Tr)19830166%216015127.2
Kanyon Floyd11100%190019.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquis Gillis (Tr)183114576.375
David Avit (Tr)12568785.534
Jason Brown Jr.1513719.144
Kyson Brown1810605.934
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Miller (Tr)44807818.370
Reed Harris (Tr)39673517.357
Kristian Ingman (Tr)23342014.937
Derek Eusebio22341215.568

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Long (Tr)1485205
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Jessiah Mcgrew (Tr)670004
Adrian Wilson571016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emar'Rion Winston (Tr)246440
Jalen Thompson (Tr)296381
Owen Long (Tr)1485205
C.J. Fite297142
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Montana Warren402028
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Adrian Wilson571016