Southern at Houston - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Southern Jaguars at Houston Cougars

Houston logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium - Houston, TX

 
Jaguars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 56 (7 - 56 on Road)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
HOU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Houston -10.5  (SP+ HOU -7)
HOU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (26 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#28)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
Southern's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/12Southern at Houston+10.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern's Schedule
Houston's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Houston vs Oregon State-21.5————
Sat 9/12Houston vs Southern-29.5————
Sat 9/19Houston at Texas Tech+22.5————
Sat 9/26Houston at Georgia Southern-13.5————
Sat 10/3Houston vs UCF-9————
Sat 10/10Houston at Kansas State+1.5————
Sat 10/17Houston vs Oklahoma State-5.5————
Sat 10/24Houston at Utah+4.5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/7Houston vs Cincinnati-8.5————
Sat 11/14Houston at Colorado-9.5————
Sat 11/21Houston at West Virginia-8————
Sat 11/28Houston vs Baylor-8————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SOU0%70%000%000%560%0%0000
HOU#102 (.12)42% (74)29.140% (99)2.61 (125)17945% (35)2163.55 (83)#44 (.11)42% (65)22.846% (104)38% (35)3.91 (94)40.11.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SOU Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
HOU Defense1322.824.241.5%3.911.4 - - - - - 49%49%46%38%16%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SOU Defense156560%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
HOU Offense1329.125.741.9%3.551.1223951792164.357%42%40%45%13%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Houston1332:1822.141%59%4.640.11.11.44.72.2230.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SOU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
HOU Defense1349% (55)46% (104) - - - - .05 (41)2.7 (32)76% (104)9% (84)0.78 (5)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SOU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
HOU Offense1357% (17)40% (99)41.9178.64.317 (78)-.03 (132)2.61 (125)73% (61)8% (40)0.8 (130)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SOU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
HOU Defense1349% (80)38% (35) - - - - - - 12 (38).21 (56)1.5 (53)32% (60)25% (14).23 (46)7% (28)2.1 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SOU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
HOU Offense1342% (118)45% (35)18.629216.47.511.626 (50)10 (20).35 (35)1.7 (16)30% (43)27% (105).21 (101)5% (33)2 (79)

Southern's Power Ratings
Southern's Power Rating: NR
Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2026 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern's 2026 Expected Record: -
Southern's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern:    Houston: 10.34

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern:    Houston: 7.4




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 10.34  #27
Houston's Offense Rating: 19.80  #24
Houston's Defense Rating: 11.52  #35
2026 Talent Rating: 769.00  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 625  #50
Houston's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Houston's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4  #39
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #44
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #46

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 766.38
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7


Southern Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 56 PPG
Defense on Road: 56

Southern's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Houston 34
Southern 23

Projected Total Points: 57
Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Houston's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201308/30Houston62Southern13Houston -38.5Houston0
200808/30Houston55Southern3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston210 Overs
Southern000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) SOU at (#27) HOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSOUHOU
Game ControlGC #139 #51
Momentum ControlMCNR #49
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #27
SP+SP+NR #39
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNR #53
Blue ChipsBC%NR #50
Houston Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Great, HC Fritz cookin here, high hopes
(3/17) LBs are loaded with exp, 6 guys. Should be good
(3/17) QB Weigman good, mobile. Henderson huge croot
(3/17) RB big ? really need Hughes (OU) or depth to hit
(3/17) OL need 3 G6 risers to hit, but very exp'd, promising
(3/17) DL very inexp'd, lacks big options on paper. Big ?
(3/17) DBs look good, CB duo good, Saf has good options
(2/6) 247 has Hou portal class #46, On3 top ten?
(2/4) HC Fritz great job 10 wins in year 2. Big jump
(2/4) OC Nagle has a lot to prove this year
(2/4) WR duo of Thomas/Walker really good. Have depth
(2/4) Pass rush a big concern on paper, v low grades
Houston Injury Report
Southern on Offense
CategoryCat
SOU OffHOU Def
Game ControlGC #139 #61
Momentum ControlMCNR #70
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #65
ExplosiveExpNR #9
PPAPPANR #44
PowerPwrNR #35
SP+SP+NR #46
Pts POPPONR #94
HavocHavNR #58
Southern Run Game
CategoryCat
SOU OffHOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #104
Run ExplRExpNR #5
PPAExpNR #41
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #32
Stuff RateStuffNR #54
TackleTak - NR
Southern Pass Game
CategoryCat
SOU OffHOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #35
Pass ExplPExlNR #53
PPAExpNR #56
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #84
DB HavocDBNR #28
Houston on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatHOU OffSOU Def
Game ControlGC #47 #140
Momentum ControlMC #23NR
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #74NR
ExplosiveExp #85NR
PPAPPA #102NR
PowerPwr #24NR
SP+SP+ #44NR
Pts POPPO #83NR
HavocHav #36NR
Houston Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
HOU OffSOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #99NR
Run ExplRExp #130NR
PPAExp #132NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #125NR
Stuff RateStuff #108NR
TackleTak - NR
Houston Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatHOU OffSOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #35NR
Pass ExplPExl #16NR
PPAExp #35NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #40NR
DB HavocDB #33NR
Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

SOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Southern's Full Roster

SOU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Myrion Johnson50000
Zay Franks20000
Roger Gradney (Tr)10000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Myrion Johnson50000
Zay Franks20000
Roger Gradney (Tr)10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Myrion Johnson50000
Zay Franks20000
Roger Gradney (Tr)10000

HOU's OC Slade Nagle (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Conner Weigman23235665%27052597.6
Luke Carney (Tr)5771%22003.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Conner Weigman170703114.150
DJ Butler6830104.415
Makhi Hughes (Tr)177004.119
Luke Carney (Tr)102812.818
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Amare Thomas679661214.464
Trent Walker (Tr)68823212.143
Patrick Overmyer (Tr)27344512.745
Koby Young12191015.943

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kentrell Webb713004
Jaden Yates (Tr)552100
Sione Fotu531120
Jordan Allen482102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Mack326510
Khalil Laufau343221
Latreveon McCutchin373142
Carmycah Glass241122
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javion White (Tr)444006
Will James394005
Kentrell Webb713004