TCU at Baylor - 2020 Matchup Preview
TCU logo   TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor Bears  Baylor logo
Saturday, October 31st 2020 (3:30 PM EDT)
TCU -3.0
TCU 33 - Baylor: 23  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (6 - 4) (7 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -1  (SP+ TCU -7)
Projected Score: TCU: 29 - BAY: 28 (57)
TCU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TCU Travel: 81 miles
Bears (2 - 7) (3 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 TCU vs Iowa State+4.543.5L 34 - 37OY
Sat 10/3 TCU at Texas+10.561.5W 33 - 31OY
Sat 10/10 TCU vs Kansas State-10.549.5L 14 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 TCU vs Oklahoma+7.059.0L 14 - 33UN
Sat 10/31 TCU at Baylor-3.0
Sat 11/7 TCU vs Texas Tech-9.560.0W 34 - 18UY
Sat 11/14 TCU at West Virginia+3.044.0L 6 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 TCU at Kansas-23.551.5W 59 - 23OY
Sat 12/5 TCU vs Oklahoma State+2.552.5W 29 - 22UY
Sat 12/12 TCU vs Louisiana Tech-21.550.0W 52 - 10OY
Thu 12/31 TCU vs Arkansas-4.557.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Baylor's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Baylor vs Kansas-17.561.0W 47 - 14UY
Sat 10/3 Baylor at West Virginia-1.554.5L 21 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Baylor at Texas+11.061.5L 16 - 27UY
Sat 10/31 Baylor vs TCU+3.0
Sat 11/7 Baylor at Iowa State+14.046.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 11/14 Baylor at Texas Tech+1.054.5L 23 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Baylor vs Kansas State-5.544.5W 32 - 31ON
Sat 12/5 Baylor at Oklahoma+22.061.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 12/12 Baylor vs Oklahoma State+6.049.5L 3 - 42UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.1243%30.747%3.2720435%2043.64.1138%25.339%35%3.6561.31.61.7
BAY.1944%31.145%2.8816641%2553.81.0641%32.638%42%2.7452.91.42.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1230.725.542.8%3.641.6214082042044.851%46%47%35%21%.12
BAY Defense1432.627.941.1%2.742.6 - - - - - 48%51%38%42%26%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1225.326.238.1%3.651.7 - - - - - 50%48%39%35%22%.11
BAY Offense1431.129.644.2%3.811.4224211662554.646%52%45%41%22%.19

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1232:5521.447%45%6.561.31.61.76.62.8330.2
Baylor1428:1522.142%40%6.452.91.42.610.64.4129.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1251%47%42.52044.823.213.2779%13%0.96
BAY Defense1448%38% - - - - -.022.777%17%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1250%39% - - - - .022.5878%12%0.91
BAY Offense1446%45%36166.44.635.112.8874%15%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1246%35%17.632.8203.76.211.61510.061.533%37%.37%1.6
BAY Defense1451%42% - - - - - - 16.141.434%33%.229%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1248%35% - - - - - - 16.211.835%32%.2610%1.7
BAY Offense1452%41%19.831.7255.1812.9248.291.634%38%.487%1.9

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2020 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #37
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #67
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8  #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Baylor: 3.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 8.1   Baylor: 1.3




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 3.15 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2020 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3  #63
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #90
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #42

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

TCU's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 29
Baylor 28

Projected Total Points: 57
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 2 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 2
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18TCU42Baylor36TCU -3.5TCU66.5Over
202411/02Baylor37TCU34Baylor -2.5Baylor64.0Over
202311/18TCU42Baylor17TCU -13.0TCU62.0Under
202211/19Baylor28TCU29TCU -2Baylor58.0Under
202111/06TCU30Baylor28Baylor -7.5TCU57.0Over
202010/31Baylor23TCU33TCU -3.0TCU0
201911/09TCU23Baylor29Baylor -3.0Baylor48.5Over
201811/17Baylor9TCU16Baylor -1TCU50.5Under
201711/24TCU45Baylor22TCU -25.5Baylor53.0Over
201611/05Baylor22TCU62Baylor -9TCU65.0Over
201511/27TCU28Baylor21Baylor -2TCU75.0Under
201410/11Baylor61TCU58Baylor -11TCU0
201311/30TCU38Baylor41Baylor -14TCU0
201210/13Baylor21TCU49
201109/02Baylor50TCU48
201009/18TCU45Baylor10
200709/01TCU27Baylor0
200609/03Baylor7TCU17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor546 Overs
TCU1394 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 87 - 63 - 44 - 2
Road Teams8 - 106 - 72 - 44 - 3

(#) TCU at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #63
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #28 #41
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #42
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #90 #16
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Top G5

TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'20 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
TCU 3.0 (0)
TCU won at Baylor this year (33-23)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Baylor last year (42-36)
Baylor beat TCU in 2024 (37-34)
TCU beat Baylor in 2023 (42-17)

  
TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD