Oklahoma State at Baylor - 2020 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Saturday, December 12th 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
Oklahoma State -6 (49.5)
Oklahoma State 42 - Baylor: 3  (Big 12)

 
Cowboys (8 - 3) (4 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (29 - 20 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OKST 2nd straight Road Game
OKST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ OKST -11.5)

Projected Score: OKST: 28 - BAY: 26 (54)
OKST Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
OKST Travel: 316 miles
Bears (2 - 7) (3 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (26 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-23.567.0W 16 - 7UN
Sat 9/26 Oklahoma State vs West Virginia-5.549.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 10/3 Oklahoma State at Kansas-21.553.0W 47 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Oklahoma State vs Iowa State-3.054.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/31 Oklahoma State vs Texas-3.5
Sat 11/7 Oklahoma State at Kansas State-14.048.5W 20 - 18UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Oklahoma State at Oklahoma+5.559.5L 13 - 41UN
Sat 11/28 Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech-12.057.0W 50 - 44ON
Sat 12/5 Oklahoma State at TCU-2.552.5L 22 - 29UN
Sat 12/12 Oklahoma State at Baylor-6.049.5W 42 - 3UY
Tue 12/29 Oklahoma State vs Miami-2.558.5W 37 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Baylor's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Baylor vs Kansas-17.561.0W 47 - 14UY
Sat 10/3 Baylor at West Virginia-1.554.5L 21 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Baylor at Texas+11.061.5L 16 - 27UY
Sat 10/31 Baylor vs TCU+3.0
Sat 11/7 Baylor at Iowa State+14.046.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 11/14 Baylor at Texas Tech+1.054.5L 23 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Baylor vs Kansas State-5.544.5W 32 - 31ON
Sat 12/5 Baylor at Oklahoma+22.061.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 12/12 Baylor vs Oklahoma State+6.049.5L 3 - 42UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST.1339%30.236%2.4718843%2393.31.137%23.540%34%3.0954.71.51.5
BAY.0534%23.334%2.159134%2203.33.1340%29.241%39%4.1762.411.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1130.228.839.2%3.311.5244271882394.156%44%36%43%17%.13
BAY Defense929.23040%4.171.9 - - - - - 55%45%41%39%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1123.519.637.2%3.091.5 - - - - - 50%50%40%34%20%.1
BAY Offense923.326.334.2%3.33118311912202.842%58%34%34%20%.05

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1129:5423.742%50%6.654.71.51.582.6232.6
Baylor929:0818.333%60%7.162.411.96.62429.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1156%36%45.9187.74.117.042.4778%12%1.04
BAY Defense955%41% - - - - .122.7867%11%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1150%40% - - - - .022.6663%14%0.99
BAY Offense942%34%3391.22.88-.032.1579%13%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1144%43%18.830.9239.17.712.71810.251.634%29%.285%2.1
BAY Defense945%39% - - - - - - 12.151.533%29%.316%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1150%34% - - - - - - 6.171.734%27%.176%2
BAY Offense958%34%22.836.8219.969.7148.111.537%25%.27%2.1

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oklahoma State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.6  #24
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #41
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State:    Baylor: 3.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 12.6   Baylor: 1.3




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 3.15 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2020 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3  #63
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #90
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #42

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.6

Oklahoma State's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma State 28
Baylor 26


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Baylor 30
Oklahoma State 26

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Oklahoma State 30
Baylor 23

Total Points: 53
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Baylor's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 2 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 2
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Oklahoma State27Baylor45Baylor -21Oklahoma State58.5Over
202410/26Baylor38Oklahoma State28Baylor -7.0Baylor64.5Over
202210/01Baylor25Oklahoma State36Baylor -2.5Oklahoma State56.0Over
202112/04Oklahoma State16Baylor21Oklahoma State -7Baylor45.0Under
202110/02Oklahoma State24Baylor14Oklahoma State -3.5Oklahoma State47.0Under
202012/12Baylor3Oklahoma State42Oklahoma State -6Oklahoma State49.5Under
201910/19Oklahoma State27Baylor45Oklahoma State -5.5Baylor68.5Over
201811/03Baylor35Oklahoma State31Oklahoma State -6Baylor68.0Under
201710/14Oklahoma State59Baylor16Oklahoma State -26Oklahoma State68.5Over
201609/24Baylor35Oklahoma State24Baylor -10Baylor73.5Under
201511/21Oklahoma State35Baylor45Baylor -3Baylor76.5Over
201411/22Baylor49Oklahoma State28Baylor -25Oklahoma State0
201311/23Oklahoma State49Baylor17Baylor -13Oklahoma State0
201212/01Baylor41Oklahoma State34
201110/29Oklahoma State59Baylor24
201011/06Oklahoma State55Baylor28
200910/24Baylor7Oklahoma State34
200810/18Oklahoma State34Baylor6
200711/17Baylor14Oklahoma State45
200611/11Oklahoma State66Baylor24
200511/19Baylor44Oklahoma State34
200411/13Oklahoma State49Baylor21
200311/22Baylor21Oklahoma State38
200111/17Baylor22Oklahoma State38
200011/17Oklahoma State50Baylor22
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor1066 Overs
Oklahoma State1575 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 107 - 64 - 43 - 2
Road Teams10 - 156 - 72 - 34 - 4

(#) OKST at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKSTBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #63
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #42 #41
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Oklahoma State on Offense
CategoryCat
OKST OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #41 #42
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oklahoma State Run Game
CategoryCat
OKST OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oklahoma State Pass Game
CategoryCat
OKST OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffOKST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #90 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffOKST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffOKST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Top G5

OKST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 56° - Wind: 5 mph
Rematch from Week 15
Oklahoma State 6.0 (49.5)
Oklahoma State won at Baylor this year (42-3)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Oklahoma State last year (38-28)
Oklahoma State beat Baylor in 2022 (36-25)

  
OKST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD