New Mexico at Utah State - 2014 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at Utah State AggiesUtah State logo
Saturday, November 15th 2014 (4:00 PM EST)
Utah State -16 (0)  Open: 0.0
Utah State 28 - New Mexico: 21  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (4 - 8) (5 - 5 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 36 (27 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 27°
USU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: UNM: 23 - USU: 32 (55)
USU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
UNM Travel: 540 miles
Aggies (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 New Mexico vs UTEP-6.5
Sat 9/6 New Mexico vs Arizona State+27.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 New Mexico at New Mexico State-3.0
Fri 9/26 New Mexico vs Fresno State+3.0
Sat 10/4 New Mexico at UTSA+18.5
Fri 10/10 New Mexico vs San Diego State+6.0
Sat 10/18 New Mexico at Air Force+12.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 New Mexico at UNLV+1.062.0W 31 - 28UY
Sat 11/8 New Mexico vs Boise State+14.5
Sat 11/15 New Mexico at Utah State+16.0
Sat 11/22 New Mexico at Colorado State+21.0
Sat 11/29 New Mexico vs Wyoming-6.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Utah State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Utah State at Tennessee+3.551.0L 7 - 38UN
Sat 9/6 Utah State vs Idaho State-35.0
Sat 9/13 Utah State vs Wake Forest-14.0
Sat 9/20 Utah State at Arkansas State+1.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Utah State at BYU+21.0
Sat 10/11 Utah State vs Air Force-7.5
Sat 10/18 Utah State at Colorado State+5.5
Sat 10/25 Utah State vs UNLV-18.0
Sat 11/1 Utah State at Hawai'i-3.041.5W 35 - 14OY
Fri 11/7 Utah State at Wyoming-4.5
Sat 11/15 Utah State vs New Mexico-16.0
Fri 11/21 Utah State vs San José State-9.5
Sat 11/29 Utah State at Boise State+9.0
Sat 12/20 Utah State vs UTEP-10.045.0W 21 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM.2241%27.743%3.0231031%893.14.2847%35.948%45%3.840.81.51.6
USU.1339%26.942%2.6618034%1992.6.0336%19.737%33%2.6865.61.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1227.72741.1%3.141.517400310896.478%22%43%31%2%.22
USU Defense1419.71836.2%2.682.1 - - - - - 48%51%37%33%2%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense1235.932.247.1%3.81.6 - - - - - 57%42%48%45%2%.28
USU Offense1426.935.539.3%2.61.5173791801994.954%45%42%34%2%.13

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1229:5517.137%40%4.340.81.51.600327.7
Utah State1429:2617.433%15%7.265.61.52.100432.1
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1278%43%48.8310.46.434.243.0266%0%1.33
USU Defense1448%37% - - - - .022.6567%0%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1257%48% - - - - .253.1386%0%1.11
USU Offense1454%42%36.6180.14.922.122.6667%0%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1222%31%6.312.489.17.214.176.192.232%27%.242%2.1
USU Defense1451%33% - - - - - - 19.061.636%28%.192%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1242%45% - - - - - - 11.331.730%41%.492%1.9
USU Offense1445%34%17.427.8198.77.211.52011.161.735%28%.212%1.9

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2014 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico:    Utah State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico:    Utah State:




Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Utah State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 35.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

New Mexico's 2014 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 32
New Mexico 23


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 32
New Mexico 24

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 32
New Mexico 23

Total Points: 55
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 26.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.5
Defense: 19.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Utah State's 2014 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25New Mexico33Utah State14New Mexico -3New Mexico61.5Under
202410/19Utah State45New Mexico50New Mexico -1New Mexico78.5Over
202311/24New Mexico41Utah State44Utah State -4.5New Mexico58.5Over
202211/05Utah State27New Mexico10Utah State -14.5Utah State42.5Under
202111/26New Mexico10Utah State35Utah State -17Utah State48.0Under
202011/26Utah State41New Mexico27New Mexico -6Utah State49.0Over
201911/30New Mexico25Utah State38Utah State -12Utah State63.0Push
201810/27Utah State61New Mexico19Utah State -20Utah State64.0Over
201711/04New Mexico10Utah State24New Mexico -3.5Utah State52.5Under
201611/12Utah State21New Mexico24Utah State -2.5New Mexico57.0Under
201511/07New Mexico14Utah State13Utah State -14.5New Mexico57.5Under
201411/15Utah State28New Mexico21Utah State -16New Mexico0
201310/19New Mexico10Utah State45Utah State -10Utah State0
200310/04New Mexico34Utah State7
200210/19Utah State45New Mexico44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah State1074 Overs
New Mexico566 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 76 - 73 - 33 - 4
Road Teams7 - 87 - 64 - 33 - 3

(#) UNM at (#) USU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNMUSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico on Offense
CategoryCat
UNM OffUSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico Run Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCatUSU OffUNM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCatUSU OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 27° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Utah State -16.0 (0)
Utah State won vs New Mexico this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Utah State last year (50-45)
Utah State beat New Mexico in 2023 (44-41)
Utah State beat New Mexico in 2022 (27-10)

  
UNM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD