Toledo at Missouri - 2013 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Missouri TigersMissouri logo
Saturday, September 7th 2013 (3:30 PM EDT)
Missouri -11.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Missouri 38 - Toledo: 23

 
Rockets (7 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 29 (25 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 91.9° (37% Hum)
TOL 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: TOL: 24 - MIZ: 34 (58)
MIZ Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
TOL Travel: 496 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (12 - 2) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (37 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Toledo at Florida+21.0
Sat 9/7 Toledo at Missouri+11.5
Sat 9/14 Toledo vs Eastern Washington-7.5
Sat 9/21 Toledo at Central Michigan-14.0
Sat 9/28 Toledo at Ball State+1.0
Sat 10/5 Toledo vs Western Michigan-19.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Toledo vs Navy-6.0
Sat 10/26 Toledo at Bowling Green+3.0
Sat 11/2 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-28.0
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12 Toledo vs Buffalo-3.5
Wed 11/20 Toledo vs Northern Illinois+3.0
Fri 11/29 Toledo at Akron-8.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Missouri's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Missouri vs Murray State-38.0
Sat 9/7 Missouri vs Toledo-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Missouri at Indiana-3.0
Sat 9/28 Missouri vs Arkansas State-21.0
Sat 10/5 Missouri at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 10/12 Missouri at Georgia+10.0
Sat 10/19 Missouri vs Florida+1.5
Sat 10/26 Missouri vs South Carolina-2.5
Sat 11/2 Missouri vs Tennessee-13.0
Sat 11/9 Missouri at Kentucky-14.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Missouri at Ole Miss-2.0
Sat 11/30 Missouri vs Texas A&M-3.0
Sat 12/7 Missouri vs Auburn-2.0
Fri 1/3 Missouri vs Oklahoma State+3.061.5W 41 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.0948%3350%3.5424142%207-0.4.1847%28.644%49%-0.150.81.31.7
MIZ.1344%39.145%3.3623840%2530.1145%23.144%45%-0.1738.81.12.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense123324.747.7%-0.41.323447241207654%43%50%42%3%.09
MIZ Defense1423.117.745.3%-0.172.3 - - - - - 44%54%44%45%3%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1228.627.747.1%-0.11.7 - - - - - 57%42%44%49%2%.18
MIZ Offense1439.136.643.7%01.1254912382535.753%46%45%40%2%.13

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1229:0822.842%50%5.850.81.31.700031.2
Missouri1429:5524.544%63%5.238.81.12.300230
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1254%50%40.2240.6626.163.5475%0%0.76
MIZ Defense1444%44% - - - - .062.9366%0%0.81
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1257%44% - - - - .053.2268%0%0.69
MIZ Offense1453%45%42237.95.735.173.3671%0%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1243%42%17.830.1206.86.911.71910.01127%36%.33%1.5
MIZ Defense1454%45% - - - - - - 20.151.130%36%.323%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1242%49% - - - - - - 8.371.330%40%.432%1.6
MIZ Offense1446%40%19.132.4252.97.813.3318.111.231%39%.432%1.6

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2013 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Missouri: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Missouri:




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2013 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.7

Toledo's 2013 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 34
Toledo 24


Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 34
Toledo 24

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 33
Toledo 25

Total Points: 58
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 39.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Missouri's 2013 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201409/06Toledo24Missouri49Missouri -5.5Missouri0
201309/07Missouri38Toledo23Missouri -11.5Missouri0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri220 Overs
Toledo000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) TOL at (#) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLMIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffMIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffMIZ Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Missouri on Offense
CategoryCatMIZ OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Missouri Run Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Missouri Pass Game
CategoryCatMIZ OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 92°
Rematch from Week 2
Missouri -11.5 (0)
Missouri won vs Toledo this year (38-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MIZ's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD