Army at Temple Week 4 College Football Matchup Army at Temple Matchup - Week 4
Sat, Sep 26 2026 · Week 4 · 🏟 Lincoln Financial Field Philadelphia, PA · Turf · 68,532 cap
Army✈ 120 miSame TZ
Away
VS
Home
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2026 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2025 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Army
27
Temple
25
P&R Line Army -2
P&R Total O/U 51.5
Confidence 55 Early Season
Matchup Prediction
Army has the edge in this matchup
Both Momentum Control (CSS) and Game Control metrics favor Army entering this game.
Momentum Control
61.3%
Army wins
Lean
Game Control
58.3%
Army wins
Lean
Advanced Stats
Advanced factors are split · No strong agreement signal
↓ See full breakdown
🛋 Army Coming off BYE
Army 2026 Schedule
Army's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Army vs Bryant-21.5
Sat 9/12Army vs South Florida-1
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/26Army at Temple-2
Sat 10/3Army at Louisiana Tech-2
Sat 10/10Army vs Tulane-3.5
Sat 10/17Army vs Florida Atlantic-7.5
Fri 10/23Army at Tulsa+1
Sat 10/31Army at Memphis+5.5
Sat 11/7Army vs Air Force-4.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/21Army vs East Carolina-1
Sat 11/28Army at Rice-11.5
Temple 2026 Schedule
Temple's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Temple vs Rhode Island-17
Sat 9/12Temple vs Penn State+16
Sat 9/19Temple at Toledo+3
Sat 9/26Temple vs Army+2
Sat 10/3Temple at South Florida+8.5
Sat 10/10Temple vs UConn-3.5
Sat 10/17Temple vs Charlotte-22
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31Temple at East Carolina+8.5
Sat 11/7Temple at Navy+8.5
Sat 11/14Temple vs UAB-13.5
Thu 11/19Temple vs Rice-12
Fri 11/27Temple at Memphis+10
Advanced Stats
Advanced Analytics Matchup
Matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense) · 2025 season (prior year)
Army PPA Edge
Agreement Signals — When All Metrics Agree
Elite · 83.1% ATS
PPA + PPO + SR + Havoc
Split
Metrics disagree
Elite · 82.4% ATS
PPA + PPO + Havoc
Split
Metrics disagree
Elite · 73.9% ATS
PPA + Success Rate
Split
Metrics disagree
Individual Factors — Ranked by Predictive Strength
PPA Overall
Points added per play · Elite predictor
Army #53
+0.474
Temple #46
+0.379
Army Edge
PPA Passing
Pass efficiency edge · Strong predictor
Army #7
+0.862
Temple #36
+0.644
Army Edge
Havoc Total
Def. disruption rate · Strong predictor
Army #121
0.127
Temple #94
0.146
TFLs, sacks, PBUs, forced fumbles — higher is better
Temple Edge
Points Per Opp
Drive-finishing edge · Strong predictor
Army #67
+8.470
Temple #13
+8.348
Army Edge
Success Rate
Play consistency edge · Solid predictor
Army #70
+0.885
Temple #46
+0.888
Temple Edge
Field Position
Avg start (lower=better) · Solid predictor
Army #39
69.7
Temple #92
71.8
Avg yards from own endzone to average start — lower is better · longer bar = better field position
Army Edge
Advanced stats sourced from CFBD · 2025 season (prior year — 2026 data not yet available) · Edges are matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense)
Power Ratings
Team Power Ratings
Overall · Offense · Defense ratings · Updated as season progresses
Army Rated Higher
Overall Power Rating
Army #76
-1.0
Temple #92
-4.0
Offense Rating
Army #78
14.9
Temple #82
14.6
Defense Rating (lower = better defense)
Army #71
15.9
Temple #106
18.6
Power ratings updated throughout the season as results accumulate
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Army Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Army #66
0.75
Temple #124
0.55
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Army #48
0.83
Temple #130
1.91
Army +0.21
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 61.3% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Army Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Army #72
41.7
Temple #127
34.8
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Army #63
36.6
Temple #107
50.8
Army +6.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.3% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Coaching Matchup
Army
Jeff Monken #51
89–63 (59%) · Yr 13 at school
OC Cody Worley Yr 3 #105
DC Nate Woody Yr 3 #12
Staff Rating
3.07 #45
Temple
K. C. Keeler #36
5–7 (42%) · Yr 2 at school
OC Tyler Walker Yr 2 #45
DC Brian Smith Yr 2 #135
Staff Rating
2.59 #80
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself