New Hampshire at Syracuse Week 1 College Football Matchup New Hampshire at Syracuse Matchup - Week 1
Sat, Sep 5 2026 · Week 1 · 🏟 Carrier Dome Syracuse, NY · Turf · 49,250 cap
New Hampshire✈ 262 miSame TZ
VS
Home
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2026 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2025 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
New Hampshire
32
Syracuse
27
P&R Line New Hampshire -5
P&R Total O/U 59
Confidence 55 Early Season
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Lean
Game Control
58.6%
Syracuse wins
Lean
New Hampshire 2026 Schedule
New Hampshire's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5New Hampshire at Syracuse-5
Syracuse 2026 Schedule
Syracuse's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Syracuse vs New Hampshire-16
Sat 9/12Syracuse vs California+9.5
Thu 9/17Syracuse at Pittsburgh+19
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/3Syracuse at UConn+11.5
Sat 10/10Syracuse at Virginia+16.5
Sat 10/17Syracuse vs Louisville+16.5
Sat 10/24Syracuse at North Carolina+7
Fri 10/30Syracuse vs SMU+20
Fri 11/6Syracuse vs Clemson+14
Sat 11/14Syracuse at NC State+16
Sat 11/21Syracuse at Boston College+3
Sat 11/28Syracuse vs Notre Dame+29.5
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? New Hampshire Edge
Avg sequences created per game
New Hampshire
0.00
Syracuse #126
0.27
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
New Hampshire
0.00
Syracuse #109
1.82
New Hampshire +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Syracuse Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
New Hampshire #129
13.6
Syracuse #110
24.9
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
New Hampshire #128
60.9
Syracuse #130
63.9
Syracuse +11.3
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.6% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself