Texas A&M at South Carolina Week 10 College Football Matchup Texas A&M at South Carolina Matchup - Week 10
Sat, Nov 7 2026 · Week 10 · 🏟 Williams-Brice Stadium Columbia, SC · Turf · 80,250 cap
Texas A&M✈ 923 mi+1 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2026 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2025 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Texas A&M
32
South Carolina
22
P&R Line Texas A&M -9.5
P&R Total O/U 53.5
Confidence 69 Good
Matchup Prediction
Texas A&M has the edge in this matchup
Both Momentum Control (CSS) and Game Control metrics favor Texas A&M entering this game.
Momentum Control
61.3%
Texas A&M wins
Lean
Game Control
75.9%
Texas A&M wins
Solid
Advanced Stats
All 4 factors agree → Texas A&M · 83.1% ATS historically when all four align
↓ See full breakdown
🛋 Texas A&M Coming off BYE
Texas A&M 2026 Schedule
Texas A&M's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Texas A&M vs Missouri State-28.5
Sat 9/12Texas A&M vs Arizona State-14.5
Sat 9/19Texas A&M vs Kentucky-19
Sat 9/26Texas A&M at LSU+1
Sat 10/3Texas A&M vs Arkansas-18.5
Sat 10/10Texas A&M at Missouri-1.5
Sat 10/17Texas A&M vs The Citadel-33
Sat 10/24Texas A&M at Alabama+1
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/7Texas A&M at South Carolina-9.5
Sat 11/14Texas A&M vs Tennessee-5
Sat 11/21Texas A&M at Oklahoma+3.5
Fri 11/27Texas A&M vs Texas+6.5
South Carolina 2026 Schedule
South Carolina's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5South Carolina vs Kent State-26
Sat 9/12South Carolina vs Towson-28.5
Sat 9/19South Carolina vs Mississippi State-7
Sat 9/26South Carolina at Alabama+13
Sat 10/3South Carolina vs Kentucky-7
Sat 10/10South Carolina at Florida+4
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/24South Carolina vs Tennessee+6.5
Sat 10/31South Carolina at Oklahoma+15.5
Sat 11/7South Carolina vs Texas A&M+9.5
Sat 11/14South Carolina at Arkansas-1.5
Sat 11/21South Carolina vs Georgia+18
Sat 11/28South Carolina at Clemson+5.5
Advanced Stats
Advanced Analytics Matchup
Matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense) · 2025 season (prior year)
Texas A&M PPA Edge
Agreement Signals — When All Metrics Agree
Elite · 83.1% ATS
PPA + PPO + SR + Havoc
All 4 Agree
→ Texas A&M
Elite · 82.4% ATS
PPA + PPO + Havoc
3 Agree
→ Texas A&M
Elite · 73.9% ATS
PPA + Success Rate
Both Agree
→ Texas A&M
Individual Factors — Ranked by Predictive Strength
PPA Overall
Points added per play · Elite predictor
Texas A&M #29
+0.327
South Carolina #109
+0.225
Texas A&M Edge
PPA Passing
Pass efficiency edge · Strong predictor
Texas A&M #26
+0.637
South Carolina #109
+0.274
Texas A&M Edge
Havoc Total
Def. disruption rate · Strong predictor
Texas A&M #4
0.214
South Carolina #61
0.160
TFLs, sacks, PBUs, forced fumbles — higher is better
Texas A&M Edge
Points Per Opp
Drive-finishing edge · Strong predictor
Texas A&M #33
+7.293
South Carolina #134
+6.525
Texas A&M Edge
Success Rate
Play consistency edge · Solid predictor
Texas A&M #28
+0.877
South Carolina #118
+0.713
Texas A&M Edge
Field Position
Avg start (lower=better) · Solid predictor
Texas A&M #9
67.5
South Carolina #128
73.4
Avg yards from own endzone to average start — lower is better · longer bar = better field position
Texas A&M Edge
Advanced stats sourced from CFBD · 2025 season (prior year — 2026 data not yet available) · Edges are matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense)
Power Ratings
Team Power Ratings
Overall · Offense · Defense ratings · Updated as season progresses
Texas A&M Rated Higher
Overall Power Rating
Texas A&M #19
14.3
South Carolina #41
5.3
Offense Rating
Texas A&M #15
22.5
South Carolina #36
18.3
Defense Rating (lower = better defense)
Texas A&M #18
8.1
South Carolina #45
13.0
Power ratings updated throughout the season as results accumulate
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Texas A&M Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Texas A&M #25
1.33
South Carolina #118
0.55
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Texas A&M #17
0.50
South Carolina #67
0.91
Texas A&M +0.79
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 61.3% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Texas A&M Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Texas A&M #23
61.9
South Carolina #52
40.7
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Texas A&M #10
21.5
South Carolina #78
40.8
Texas A&M +21.2
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 75.9% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Coaching Matchup
Texas A&M
Mike Elko #18
8–4 (67%) · Yr 3 at school
OC Holmon Wiggins Yr 1 #67
DC Lyle Hemphill Yr 1 #17
Staff Rating
3.39 #22
South Carolina
Shane Beamer #45
33–30 (52%) · Yr 6 at school
OC Kendal Briles Yr 1 #39
DC Clayton White Yr 3 #15
Staff Rating
3.31 #25
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself