Thu, Aug 28 2025
·
Week 1
·
🏟 Delaware Stadium
Newark, DE
·
Turf
·
22,000 cap
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
58.3%
Delaware State wins
Lean
Vegas Spread
Delaware -30.5
O/U 55.5
Bovada
Delaware State 2025 Schedule
Delaware State's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/28 | Delaware State at Delaware | +30.5L17–35 | 55.5 | L17–35 | U | Y |
Delaware 2025 Schedule
Delaware's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/28 | Delaware vs Delaware State | -30.5W35–17 | 55.5 | W35–17 | U | N |
| Sat 9/6 | Delaware at Colorado | +23.5L7–31 | 49.5 | L7–31 | U | N |
| Sat 9/13 | Delaware vs UConn | +8.5W44–41 | 52.5 | W44–41 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/20 | Delaware at Florida International | +4.0W38–16 | 54.5 | W38–16 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Fri 10/3 | Delaware vs Western Kentucky | -2.5L24–27 | 62.5 | L24–27 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Wed 10/15 | Delaware at Jacksonville State | -3.0L25–38 | 55.5 | L25–38 | O | N |
| Wed 10/22 | Delaware vs Middle Tennessee | -9.5W31–28 | 55.5 | W31–28 | O | N |
| Sat 11/1 | Delaware at Liberty | +3.5L30–59 | 52.5 | L30–59 | O | N |
| Sat 11/8 | Delaware vs Louisiana Tech | +5.5W25–24 | 57.5 | W25–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/15 | Delaware vs Sam Houston | -11.5L23–26 | 56.5 | L23–26 | U | N |
| Sat 11/22 | Delaware at Wake Forest | +17.5L14–52 | 49.5 | L14–52 | O | N |
| Sat 11/29 | Delaware vs UTEP | -4.5W61–31 | 55.5 | W61–31 | O | Y |
| Wed 12/17 | Delaware vs Louisiana | +1.5W20–13 | 60.5 | W20–13 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Delaware State Edge
Delaware State +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Delaware State Edge
Delaware State +8.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.3% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓