Sat, Sep 7 2024
·
Week 2
·
🏟 Rice Stadium
Houston, TX
·
Turf
·
47,000 cap
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Rice wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Rice -30
O/U 52.5
ESPN Bet
Texas Southern 2024 Schedule
Texas Southern's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/7 | Texas Southern at Rice | +30.0L7–69 | 52.5 | L7–69 | O | N |
Rice 2024 Schedule
Rice's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/31 | Rice vs Sam Houston | -9.5L14–34 | 49.0 | L14–34 | U | N |
| Sat 9/7 | Rice vs Texas Southern | -30.0W69–7 | 52.5 | W69–7 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/14 | Rice at Houston | +3.5L7–33 | 43.5 | L7–33 | U | N |
| Sat 9/21 | Rice at Army | +7.0L14–37 | 44.0 | L14–37 | O | N |
| Sat 9/28 | Rice vs Charlotte | -4.0L20–21 | 48.0 | L20–21 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Rice vs UTSA | +3.5W29–27 | 51.0 | W29–27 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/19 | Rice at Tulane | +21.5L10–24 | 53.5 | L10–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/26 | Rice at UConn | +6.5L10–17 | 47.0 | L10–17 | U | N |
| Sat 11/2 | Rice vs Navy | +12.5W24–10 | 49.0 | W24–10 | U | Y |
| Fri 11/8 | Rice at Memphis | +7.5L20–27 | 50.5 | L20–27 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Rice at UAB | -7.0L14–40 | 52.0 | L14–40 | O | N |
| Sat 11/30 | Rice vs South Florida | +5.5W35–28 | 53.5 | W35–28 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Texas Southern Edge
Texas Southern +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Rice Edge
Rice +39.7
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓