Thu, Aug 29 2024
·
Week 1
·
🏟 Malone Stadium
Monroe, LA
·
Turf
·
30,427 cap
Jackson State✈ 110 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
67.1%
UL Monroe wins
Solid
Vegas Spread
UL Monroe -4.5
O/U 45.5
ESPN Bet
Jackson State 2024 Schedule
Jackson State's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/29 | Jackson State at UL Monroe | +4.5L14–30 | 45.5 | L14–30 | U | N |
| Sat 12/14 | Jackson State vs South Carolina State | +3.5W28–7 | 54.5 | W28–7 | U | Y |
UL Monroe 2024 Schedule
UL Monroe's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/29 | UL Monroe vs Jackson State | -4.5W30–14 | 45.5 | W30–14 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/7 | UL Monroe vs UAB | +10.5W32–6 | 55.5 | W32–6 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/21 | UL Monroe at Texas | +43.5L3–51 | 54.5 | L3–51 | U | N |
| Sat 9/28 | UL Monroe at Troy | +6.0W13–9 | 46.0 | W13–9 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/5 | UL Monroe vs James Madison | +16.5W21–19 | 48.5 | W21–19 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/12 | UL Monroe vs Southern Miss | -4.5W38–21 | 41.0 | W38–21 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/26 | UL Monroe at South Alabama | +7.0L17–46 | 45.0 | L17–46 | O | N |
| Sat 11/2 | UL Monroe at Marshall | +10.5L23–28 | 48.0 | L23–28 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/9 | UL Monroe vs Texas State | +9.5L17–38 | 50.0 | L17–38 | O | N |
| Sat 11/16 | UL Monroe at Auburn | +24.5L14–48 | 46.0 | L14–48 | O | N |
| Sat 11/23 | UL Monroe at Arkansas State | +3.0L21–28 | 51.5 | L21–28 | U | N |
| Sat 11/30 | UL Monroe vs Louisiana | +8.5L23–37 | 50.5 | L23–37 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Jackson State Edge
Jackson State +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
UL Monroe Edge
UL Monroe +15.4
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 67.1% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓