Thu, Aug 31 2023
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Week 1
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🏟 BB&T Field
Winston-Salem, NC
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Turf
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31,500 cap
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Wake Forest wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Wake Forest -33.5
O/U 53.5
William Hill (New Jersey)
Elon 2023 Schedule
Elon's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/31 | Elon at Wake Forest | +33.5L17–37 | 53.5 | L17–37 | O | Y |
Wake Forest 2023 Schedule
Wake Forest's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/31 | Wake Forest vs Elon | -33.5W37–17 | 53.5 | W37–17 | O | N |
| Sat 9/9 | Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt | -9.5W36–20 | 55.0 | W36–20 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/16 | Wake Forest at Old Dominion | -13.5W27–24 | 60.0 | W27–24 | U | N |
| Sat 9/23 | Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech | -3.5L16–30 | 58.5 | L16–30 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/7 | Wake Forest at Clemson | +21.0L12–17 | 53.5 | L12–17 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/14 | Wake Forest at Virginia Tech | +1.5L13–30 | 48.5 | L13–30 | U | N |
| Sat 10/21 | Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh | +3.0W21–17 | 45.0 | W21–17 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/28 | Wake Forest vs Florida State | +21.0L16–41 | 53.5 | L16–41 | O | N |
| Thu 11/2 | Wake Forest at Duke | +6.5L21–24 | 41.0 | L21–24 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/11 | Wake Forest vs NC State | -0.5L6–26 | 42.5 | L6–26 | U | N |
| Sat 11/18 | Wake Forest at Notre Dame | +22.5L7–45 | 47.5 | L7–45 | O | N |
| Sat 11/25 | Wake Forest at Syracuse | +3.0L31–35 | 43.5 | L31–35 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Elon Edge
Elon +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Wake Forest Edge
Wake Forest +55.6
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓