Sat, Nov 11 2023
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Week 11
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🏟 Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
West Point, NY
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Turf
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38,000 cap
Holy Cross✈ 125 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
67.1%
Army wins
Solid
Vegas Spread
Army -11.5
O/U 55.5
ESPN Bet
Holy Cross 2023 Schedule
Holy Cross's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/9 | Holy Cross at Boston College | +10.0L28–31 | 52.0 | L28–31 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/11 | Holy Cross at Army | +11.5L14–17 | 55.5 | L14–17 | U | Y |
Army 2023 Schedule
Army's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/2 | Army at UL Monroe | -8.5L13–17 | 47.0 | L13–17 | U | N |
| Sat 9/9 | Army vs Delaware State | -39.5W57–0 | 44.0 | W57–0 | O | Y |
| Fri 9/15 | Army at UTSA | +7.0W37–29 | 42.0 | W37–29 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/23 | Army at Syracuse | +13.0L16–29 | 50.5 | L16–29 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/7 | Army vs Boston College | -2.5L24–27 | 47.0 | L24–27 | O | N |
| Sat 10/14 | Army vs Troy | +6.5L0–19 | 41.5 | L0–19 | U | N |
| Sat 10/21 | Army at LSU | +33.0L0–62 | 60.0 | L0–62 | O | N |
| Sat 10/28 | Army vs Massachusetts | -10.0L14–21 | 49.5 | L14–21 | U | N |
| Sat 11/4 | Army vs Air Force | +18.5W23–3 | 32.0 | W23–3 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/11 | Army vs Holy Cross | -11.5W17–14 | 55.5 | W17–14 | U | N |
| Sat 11/18 | Army vs Coastal Carolina | +1.5W28–21 | 40.5 | W28–21 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 12/9 | Army vs Navy | -2.0W17–11 | 28.0 | W17–11 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Holy Cross Edge
Holy Cross +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Army Edge
Army +17.3
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 67.1% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓