Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Florida wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Florida -48.5
O/U 55.5
William Hill (New Jersey)
McNeese 2023 Schedule
McNeese's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/9 | McNeese at Florida | +48.5L7–49 | 55.5 | L7–49 | O | Y |
Florida 2023 Schedule
Florida's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/31 | Florida at Utah | +5.5L11–24 | 44.5 | L11–24 | U | N |
| Sat 9/9 | Florida vs McNeese | -48.5W49–7 | 55.5 | W49–7 | O | N |
| Sat 9/16 | Florida vs Tennessee | +5.0W29–16 | 57.0 | W29–16 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/23 | Florida vs Charlotte | -28.0W22–7 | 48.5 | W22–7 | U | N |
| Sat 9/30 | Florida at Kentucky | +1.0L14–33 | 44.0 | L14–33 | O | N |
| Sat 10/7 | Florida vs Vanderbilt | -18.0W38–14 | 51.0 | W38–14 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/14 | Florida at South Carolina | -1.0W41–39 | 50.0 | W41–39 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/28 | Florida vs Georgia | +14.0L20–43 | 50.0 | L20–43 | O | N |
| Sat 11/4 | Florida vs Arkansas | -4.5L36–39 | 50.0 | L36–39 | O | N |
| Sat 11/11 | Florida at LSU | +14.0L35–52 | 68.5 | L35–52 | O | N |
| Sat 11/18 | Florida at Missouri | +12.5L31–33 | 56.5 | L31–33 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/25 | Florida vs Florida State | +6.0L15–24 | 51.0 | L15–24 | U | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
McNeese Edge
McNeese +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Florida Edge
Florida +38.2
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓