Sat, Sep 10 2022
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Week 2
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🏟 Bridgeforth Stadium
Harrisonburg, VA
·
Turf
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24,878 cap
Norfolk State✈ 180 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
49.4%
Norfolk State wins
Toss-up
Vegas Spread
James Madison -41.5
O/U 54.5
consensus
Norfolk State 2022 Schedule
Norfolk State's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/3 | Norfolk State at Marshall | +40.5L3–55 | 59.0 | L3–55 | U | N |
| Sat 9/10 | Norfolk State at James Madison | +41.5L7–63 | 54.5 | L7–63 | O | N |
James Madison 2022 Schedule
James Madison's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/3 | James Madison vs Middle Tennessee | -4.5W44–7 | 60.5 | W44–7 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/10 | James Madison vs Norfolk State | -41.5W63–7 | 54.5 | W63–7 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/24 | James Madison at App State | +6.0W32–28 | 57.0 | W32–28 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/1 | James Madison vs Texas State | -22.0W40–13 | 51.5 | W40–13 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/8 | James Madison at Arkansas State | -11.5W42–20 | 55.0 | W42–20 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/15 | James Madison at Georgia Southern | -13.0L38–45 | 68.0 | L38–45 | O | N |
| Sat 10/22 | James Madison vs Marshall | -9.5L12–26 | 48.5 | L12–26 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/5 | James Madison at Louisville | +6.5L10–34 | 53.0 | L10–34 | U | N |
| Sat 11/12 | James Madison at Old Dominion | -7.5W37–3 | 48.0 | W37–3 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/19 | James Madison vs Georgia State | -10.0W42–40 | 51.5 | W42–40 | O | N |
| Sat 11/26 | James Madison vs Coastal Carolina | -15.5W47–7 | 53.0 | W47–7 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Norfolk State Edge
Norfolk State +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Norfolk State Edge
Norfolk State +0.6
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 49.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓