Sat, Sep 17 2022
·
Week 3
·
🏟 Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Mount Pleasant, MI
·
Turf
·
32,885 cap
Bucknell✈ 441 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Central Michigan wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Central Michigan -41.0
O/U 59.0
Bovada
Bucknell 2022 Schedule
Bucknell's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/17 | Bucknell at Central Michigan | +41.0L0–41 | 59.0 | L0–41 | U | Y |
Central Michigan 2022 Schedule
Central Michigan's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9/1 | Central Michigan at Oklahoma State | +20.5L44–58 | 58.0 | L44–58 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/10 | Central Michigan vs South Alabama | -6.0L24–38 | 57.5 | L24–38 | O | N |
| Sat 9/17 | Central Michigan vs Bucknell | -41.0W41–0 | 59.0 | W41–0 | U | N |
| Sat 9/24 | Central Michigan at Penn State | +28.0L14–33 | 61.5 | L14–33 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/1 | Central Michigan at Toledo | +6.5L17–38 | 56.0 | L17–38 | U | N |
| Sat 10/8 | Central Michigan vs Ball State | -7.5L16–17 | 63.0 | L16–17 | U | N |
| Sat 10/15 | Central Michigan at Akron | -12.0W28–21 | 60.5 | W28–21 | U | N |
| Sat 10/22 | Central Michigan vs Bowling Green | -5.5L18–34 | 51.0 | L18–34 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Wed 11/2 | Central Michigan at Northern Illinois | +4.5W35–22 | 54.0 | W35–22 | O | Y |
| Wed 11/9 | Central Michigan vs Buffalo | -3.0W31–27 | 54.0 | W31–27 | O | Y |
| Wed 11/16 | Central Michigan vs Western Michigan | -10.0L10–12 | 49.0 | L10–12 | U | N |
| Fri 11/25 | Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan | +1.0L19–38 | 53.5 | L19–38 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Bucknell Edge
Bucknell +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Central Michigan Edge
Central Michigan +54.5
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓