Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Army wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Army -14
O/U 56.0
consensus
Villanova 2022 Schedule
Villanova's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/17 | Villanova at Army | +14.0L10–49 | 56.0 | L10–49 | O | N |
Army 2022 Schedule
Army's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/3 | Army at Coastal Carolina | +1.5L28–38 | 54.0 | L28–38 | O | N |
| Sat 9/10 | Army vs UTSA | +2.0L38–41 | 54.0 | L38–41 | O | N |
| Sat 9/17 | Army vs Villanova | -14.0W49–10 | 56.0 | W49–10 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/1 | Army vs Georgia State | -8.5L14–31 | 54.0 | L14–31 | U | N |
| Sat 10/8 | Army at Wake Forest | +16.0L10–45 | 65.5 | L10–45 | U | N |
| Sat 10/15 | Army vs Colgate | -31.0W42–17 | 51.0 | W42–17 | O | N |
| Sat 10/22 | Army vs UL Monroe | -6.5W48–24 | 55.5 | W48–24 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/5 | Army vs Air Force | +7.0L7–13 | 40.5 | L7–13 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/12 | Army at Troy | +8.5L9–10 | 45.5 | L9–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/19 | Army vs UConn | -10.5W34–17 | 45.0 | W34–17 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/26 | Army at Massachusetts | -20.0W44–7 | 45.5 | W44–7 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 12/10 | Army vs Navy | +2.5W20–17 | 32.0 | W20–17 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Villanova Edge
Villanova +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Army Edge
Army +59.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓